Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $2,575 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 8:20–8:25AM ET window on May 16 higher or lower than where it started, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. Traders are pricing a very short-term BTC move, with PolySpotter tracking $2,575 in smart money activity and a recent signal from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET1 signal · $2,575 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    Profitable serial near-resolution bettor bought $2.6k of Down in a thin 5-minute Bitcoin market, though their overall win rate is only 50%.

    $2,575Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 10.1

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xa0a507606f$2,575 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins

FAQs

What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16 at 8:20AM ET?

The live odds move as traders buy and sell the Up and Down outcomes on Polymarket. PolySpotter tracks the market in real time so you can see how expectations shift before the 8:20–8:25AM ET window closes.

What does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve on?

The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 5-minute window is greater than or equal to the price at the start. If it is lower, the market resolves to Down.

What is the smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,575 in smart money across this event, including a recent alert labeled “Profitable serial timer,” suggesting activity from a trader with a history of timing these short-duration markets.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from a single crypto exchange or other Bitcoin price source.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

This event is scheduled to resolve after the May 16, 8:20–8:25AM ET window, with resolution by 12:25 UTC, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are available.