Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $4,347 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 8:25AM–8:30AM ET window on May 16 up or down versus its starting price, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $4,347 in smart money activity across this short-duration BTC prediction market, with recent signals pointing to experienced serial timers active in the market.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution crypto bettor with positive lifetime P&L bought $3.2k of Up shortly before the 5-minute BTC window.
$3,219Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 5.8 - Perfect serial timer
Surfaced because the bettor has a perfect 17-0 resolved record with strong profit and a repeat last-minute betting pattern, despite the short-duration BTC market.
$1,128Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa0a507…606f$3,219 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins
- 0x6ef5cb…267b$1,128 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16, 8:25AM–8:30AM ET?
The live odds come from Polymarket trading and reflect the market-implied probability that Bitcoin ends the five-minute window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price versus below it.
What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?
“Up” resolves if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 8:25AM–8:30AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”
Is smart money betting on this Bitcoin market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,347 in smart money across this event, with 2 recent signals. Alert activity includes a profitable serial timer and a perfect serial timer, suggesting experienced short-window traders have been active.
When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the 8:25AM–8:30AM ET window on May 16, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD data is available and the final price comparison can be made.
Where does Polymarket get the Bitcoin price for this event?
Resolution is based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, not prices from a crypto exchange or another index. Traders should compare odds against that source when evaluating the market.