Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $3,549 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 8:30AM–8:35AM ET window on May 16 higher or lower than where it started, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter is monitoring the event’s prediction-market odds and smart money activity, including a recent signal from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET1 signal · $3,549 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    Serial near-resolution BTC bettor with positive lifetime P&L placed an oversized Down bet in a very thin 5-minute market, though the price has since moved against the entry.

    $3,549Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 11.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xa0a507606f$3,549 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 odds?

The odds reflect how traders are pricing whether Bitcoin will be up or down over the 8:30AM–8:35AM ET five-minute window. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket pricing and highlights smart money activity around the event.

How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

The market resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 8:35AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 8:30AM ET. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

What is the smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter has tracked $3,549 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal flagged as a “profitable serial timer,” suggesting a trader with a history of timing similar markets entered the market.

Is this market based on Coinbase or Binance Bitcoin prices?

No. This event resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from a specific exchange such as Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve after the 8:30AM–8:35AM ET window on May 16, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are available.