Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $2,817 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026

This event tracks Polymarket odds for whether Bitcoin finishes up or down during the May 16, 8:40–8:45AM ET five-minute window. The market resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, and PolySpotter has flagged $2,817 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET1 signal · $2,817 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Up in size minutes before the BTC 5-minute market closed, with a positive lifetime P&L despite only a modest raw win rate.

    $2,817Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 5.6

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xa0a507606f$2,817 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins

FAQs

What is the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 prediction market?

It is a short-term Polymarket event where traders bet on whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price will be greater than or equal to its starting price at the end of the 8:40–8:45AM ET window.

How do the Bitcoin Up or Down odds resolve?

The event resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 8:45AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 8:40AM ET. If it is lower, it resolves to “Down.”

What is the smart money doing on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $2,817 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal described as a profitable serial timer entering the market.

Does this market use Coinbase or Binance prices?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices on other exchanges may differ and do not determine the outcome.