PolySpotter

Follow the smart money

Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $4,110 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 9:55AM–10:00AM ET window on May 16 at or above its starting price, based on Chainlink BTC/USD data. PolySpotter is monitoring the short-term Up/Down odds, including a smart money signal from a profitable serial timer, to show how sharp traders are positioning before resolution.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET1 signal · $4,110 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    Profitable serial near-resolution bettor bought $4.1k of Up on a short BTC market, though the 5-minute format makes the timing edge less clean.

    $4,110Wallet win rate: 50%Score: 5.6

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x9dae87…97a2$4,110 · 1 market · 1 alert · 50% wins

FAQs

What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16 from 9:55AM to 10:00AM ET?

The event’s odds reflect the market-implied chance that Bitcoin ends the five-minute window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds and any notable changes in trader positioning.

What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?

“Up” means the Bitcoin price at the end of the 9:55AM–10:00AM ET range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source.

What is the smart money doing in this market?

PolySpotter has tracked $4,110 in smart money activity across this event, including a signal flagged as a “profitable serial timer.” That suggests at least one historically successful short-window trader has taken a position.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

This market resolves after the May 16, 9:55AM–10:00AM ET window, once the Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices can be compared.

Is this market based on Coinbase or Binance Bitcoin prices?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from individual exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance, or other spot markets.