Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $4,159 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the May 16, 11:35AM–11:40AM ET window up or down versus its starting price. PolySpotter has tracked $3,111 in smart money activity, including a signal tied to a profitable serial timer, making this a short-term BTC prediction market to watch closely.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable last-second BTC bettor
Profitable high-win-rate wallet bought Up one second before resolution and the trade immediately settled in the money, but this is a very short BTC market so the main value is tracking the wallet rather than copying this resolved entry.
$1,048Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 6.5 - Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution BTC bettor with positive lifetime P&L bought Down minutes before resolution despite the market later moving against their entry.
$3,111Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 5.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9dae87…97a2$3,111 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins
- 0x3fb748…6b52$1,048 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 odds on Polymarket?
The odds reflect what traders are paying for the Up and Down outcomes during the 11:35AM–11:40AM ET window. On PolySpotter, you can follow the live Polymarket pricing alongside smart money activity for the event.
What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?
“Up” resolves yes if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the specified time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,111 in smart money activity across this event, with a recent alert highlighting a profitable serial timer. That suggests at least one historically successful short-duration trader has been active in this market.
When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The event resolves after the 11:35AM–11:40AM ET window on May 16, using the BTC/USD data stream from Chainlink as the resolution source.
Is this market based on Coinbase or Binance Bitcoin prices?
No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices from exchanges like Coinbase or Binance may not determine the final outcome.