Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $3,154 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down over the five-minute window from 11:40AM to 11:45AM ET on May 16, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $3,154 in smart-money activity on this event, including a signal from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET1 signal · $3,154 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable serial timer

    Profitable serial near-resolution BTC bettor placed a $3.1k Up bet far larger than this market's prior volume.

    $3,154Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 8.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x9dae8797a2$3,154 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 odds?

The odds reflect the market-implied chance that Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price at 11:45AM ET is greater than or equal to its price at 11:40AM ET. Check the live Polymarket prices for the latest Up and Down probabilities.

What is this Bitcoin prediction market betting on?

This event is a short-term BTC price market. It resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 11:40–11:45AM ET window is at least as high as the starting price; otherwise it resolves to “Down.”

Is smart money betting on this Bitcoin market?

PolySpotter is tracking $3,154 in smart-money activity across this event, with one recent signal. The latest alert highlights activity from a profitable serial timer, suggesting experienced short-window traders are involved.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The market resolves after the 11:40AM–11:45AM ET window on May 16, based on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream rather than prices from other exchanges or charting sites.