Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $7,486 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price finishes up or down over the 5-minute window from May 16, 1:15PM to 1:20PM ET. PolySpotter has tracked $7,486 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including alerts tied to a profitable serial timer.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer
A profitable serial near-resolution BTC bettor put $3.1k on Up shortly before a 5-minute market, though the price has since moved against the entry.
$3,120Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 8.8 - Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution crypto bettor with $23,987 lifetime profit bought Up minutes before close, suggesting a repeatable timing edge despite only a 50% raw win rate.
$4,367Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 6.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9dae87…97a2$7,486 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 52% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 odds?
The odds reflect Polymarket traders’ real-time pricing on whether Bitcoin will be higher or lower at 1:20PM ET than it was at 1:15PM ET, based on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream.
What is smart money doing in this Bitcoin prediction market?
PolySpotter has detected $7,486 in tracked smart money activity across 2 signals for this event. Recent alerts flagged a profitable serial timer, suggesting experienced short-window traders are active.
How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The market resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 1:15PM–1:20PM ET window is greater than or equal to the starting price. Otherwise, it resolves to “Down.”
Is this market based on Coinbase or Binance Bitcoin prices?
No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices on exchanges like Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken may not determine the result.
When does the Bitcoin May 16 1:15PM–1:20PM ET market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the 5-minute window ends at 1:20PM ET on May 16, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are available.