Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $3,623 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 11:00PM-11:05PM ET window on May 16 at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price, or below it. PolySpotter is tracking $3,623 in smart money activity across the market, including signals from a perfect-record serial timer and a 75% BTC timer.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Perfect-record serial timer
Sharp 11-for-11 serial near-resolution bettor bought Down, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
$2,415Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 9.2 - 75% BTC timer
Sharp-wallet override: this profitable wallet has a 75% record over 133 resolved bets and made a high-conviction late BUY on Down, though the market has since moved sharply against it.
$1,208Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 8.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0x1202c1…054b$2,415 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xb3fdfe…22c7$1,208 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 odds on Polymarket?
The event’s odds reflect the market-implied probability that Bitcoin ends the 11:00PM-11:05PM ET window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price versus finishing lower. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money positioning.
What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,623 in smart money activity and 2 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a perfect-record serial timer and a 75% BTC timer, suggesting notable trader activity around the short five-minute Bitcoin move.
How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The market resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 11:00PM-11:05PM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the start. It resolves to “Down” if the ending price is lower.
Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price?
No. Resolution is based specifically on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, not prices from individual exchanges such as Coinbase or Binance.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 16 market resolve?
This event is scheduled to resolve after the 11:00PM-11:05PM ET window on May 16, using the Chainlink BTC/USD prices for the start and end of that period.