Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $3,511 tracked · resolves May 18, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down during the 5-minute window from 8:20AM to 8:25AM ET on May 18, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter has tracked $1,147 in smart money activity on the event, including a signal from a profitable serial timer, making it useful for watching short-term BTC prediction-market positioning.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution bettor placed a $1.1k Down bet in a very quiet 5-minute BTC market, though this is time-sensitive and the price has already moved against them.
$1,147Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 7.0 - Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution bettor made two sizeable Down buys, but the market has moved sharply against the position since entry.
$2,365Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 5.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8d2d7b…5517$3,511 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 51% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 18 odds on Polymarket?
The odds reflect whether traders think Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price will be greater than or equal to its starting price at 8:20AM ET, or lower by 8:25AM ET. PolySpotter tracks the live market plus smart money activity behind those odds.
What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?
“Up” resolves if the Bitcoin price at the end of the 8:20AM-8:25AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window, based on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,147 in smart money activity across this Bitcoin Up or Down event, with one recent signal flagged as coming from a profitable serial timer.
When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The market resolves after the 8:20AM-8:25AM ET window on May 18, using Chainlink BTC/USD data to compare Bitcoin’s price at the start and end of the five-minute period.
Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another BTC price?
No. This event resolves specifically using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices from exchanges or other charts may not match the official resolution source.