Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $5,371 tracked · resolves May 18, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 8:30–8:35AM ET window on May 18 up or down versus its starting price, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $1,384 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial BTC timer, making this a short-term crypto prediction market to watch closely.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution bettor added nearly $4k on Down shortly before a BTC 5-minute market, with a strong prior timing pattern and positive P&L.
$3,987Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 7.5 - Profitable serial BTC timer
Profitable serial timer bought Down before a thin 5-minute BTC market moved from 56% to 64%, suggesting a real-time trading edge despite a modest win rate.
$1,384Wallet win rate: 51%Score: 5.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8d2d7b…5517$5,371 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 51% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down May 18 odds?
The odds reflect how traders are pricing whether Bitcoin will end the 8:30–8:35AM ET window higher or lower than where it started. On PolySpotter, you can monitor the live Polymarket odds alongside smart money activity for this event.
What does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve on?
This event resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 8:30–8:35AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”
Is smart money betting on this Bitcoin Up or Down market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,384 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent alert described as a profitable serial BTC timer. That suggests at least one historically successful short-term Bitcoin trader is active here.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 18 market resolve?
The market covers the five-minute window from 8:30AM to 8:35AM ET on May 18 and is expected to resolve after the final Chainlink BTC/USD price for that window is available.
Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price?
No. This Polymarket event resolves specifically using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices on individual exchanges may differ from the official resolution source.