Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
1 signal across 1 market · $1,363 tracked · resolves May 18, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 8:40–8:45AM ET window on May 18 higher or lower than where it started, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. Traders are pricing a very short-term BTC move, with PolySpotter showing $1,363 in tracked smart money and a recent signal from a profitable serial timer.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8d2d7b…5517$1,363 · 1 market · 1 alert · 51% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18 at 8:40AM ET?
The odds reflect Polymarket traders' expectations for whether BTC will end the 8:40–8:45AM ET window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price, or below it. Check the event page for the latest live odds and pricing changes.
What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?
“Up” resolves if the Bitcoin price at the end of the 5-minute window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning, based on Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”
Is smart money betting on this Bitcoin market?
PolySpotter currently tracks $1,363 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal flagged as a profitable serial timer. That suggests at least one historically successful short-window trader has participated.
When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The event covers May 18 from 8:40AM to 8:45AM ET and is scheduled to resolve by 12:45 UTC. Resolution is based on Chainlink BTC/USD data, not prices from a crypto exchange chart.
How should I use smart money signals for a 5-minute BTC market?
Smart money signals can highlight experienced traders entering the market, but 5-minute Bitcoin outcomes are highly volatile. Use the signals as context alongside live odds, timing, liquidity, and the Chainlink resolution rules.