Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $3,260 tracked · resolves May 19, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the May 19, 2:20AM–2:25AM ET window up or down versus its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. PolySpotter has flagged $3,260 in smart money activity, including a 95% winner buying Down and a profitable last-minute BTC bettor entering the market.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 95% winner buying Down
Sharp short-term BTC bettor with a 95% resolved win rate bought Down at 48¢ minutes before resolution and the market moved to 54¢.
$2,248Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 9.9 - Profitable last-minute BTC bettor
A highly profitable short-term BTC bettor bought Down near resolution, but this is time-sensitive and the entry has already moved against them.
$1,012Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 8.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x158d7b…3ffe$2,248 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xb3fdfe…22c7$1,012 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?
The live Polymarket odds show whether traders expect Bitcoin to end the 2:20AM–2:25AM ET window above or below its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. Check the event page for the latest Up and Down pricing as the market moves quickly near resolution.
What is the smart money doing in this Bitcoin market?
PolySpotter tracked $3,260 in smart money activity across this event, with recent alerts highlighting a 95% winner buying Down and a profitable last-minute BTC bettor. These signals suggest experienced traders are active close to the five-minute window.
How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 2:20AM–2:25AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning. If the ending price is lower, it resolves to Down.
Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price?
No. This event resolves using Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream, not the price shown on any single exchange or other data source.
When does the May 19 Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
The event resolves after the 2:20AM–2:25AM ET window on May 19, using the Chainlink BTC/USD value at the start and end of that period.