PolySpotter

Follow the smart money

Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

2 signals across 1 market · $3,251 tracked · resolves May 20, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 5:25–5:30AM ET window on May 20 at or above its starting price, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. PolySpotter is tracking $3,251 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including alerts tied to a serial timer with a proven edge and a 93% crypto micro-market winner.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET2 signals · $3,251 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Serial timer with proven edge

    Sharp profitable wallet with a serial near-resolution pattern bought Up despite the market later reverting to 50/50.

    $1,009Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 13.8
  2. 93% crypto micro-market winner

    Sharp 93% win-rate crypto bettor bought Up in a thin 5-minute BTC market, with a strong serial cross-market record and meaningful lifetime profit.

    $2,242Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.8

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x18614c…ff2a$2,242 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
  2. 0xb3fdfe…22c7$1,009 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis
Bitcoin rises this morning

FAQs

What is the Bitcoin Up or Down May 20 5:25AM prediction market?

It is a short-duration Polymarket event on whether BTC/USD is higher or lower at the end of the 5:25–5:30AM ET window on May 20. The traded outcome is essentially Up versus Down for that five-minute Bitcoin price move.

How are the odds for this Bitcoin Up/Down event determined?

Odds move based on trading activity in the Polymarket market, reflecting how participants price the chance that Bitcoin ends the window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price.

What is the smart money doing in this event?

PolySpotter is tracking $3,251 in smart money exposure across 2 signals. Recent alerts highlight activity from a serial timer with a proven edge and a trader described as a 93% crypto micro-market winner.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The event resolves after the May 20 5:25–5:30AM ET window, with the listed resolution time at 2026-05-20 09:30:00 UTC. Resolution is based on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not other exchanges or price feeds.