Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $6,289 tracked · resolves May 23, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 11:25–11:30 PM ET window up or down versus its starting price, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter has tracked $6,289 in smart-money activity across 2 signals, including alerts from a profitable serial timer and a BTC timer with a reported 76% win rate.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution BTC bettor with $40k lifetime profit placed a concentrated $4.8k Up bet minutes before expiry, despite a modest raw win rate.
$4,808Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 12.1 - Serial BTC timer, 76% winner
Sharp serial near-resolution BTC bettor with a 76% record and +$66k P&L bought Up despite the market being extremely quiet.
$1,481Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 11.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8d2d7b…5517$4,808 · 1 market · 1 alert · 47% wins
- 0xb3fdfe…22c7$1,481 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22 at 11:25 PM ET?
The live odds come from the Polymarket market for whether BTC ends the 5-minute window higher or lower than it started. PolySpotter adds context by showing smart-money signals behind those odds.
What outcomes are being traded in this Bitcoin prediction market?
Traders are betting on two possible outcomes: Up, if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 11:30 PM ET is greater than or equal to the 11:25 PM ET price, or Down if it is lower.
What is the smart money doing on this BTC Up or Down market?
PolySpotter has tracked $6,289 in smart-money activity and 2 signals for this event, including activity flagged as a profitable serial timer and a serial BTC timer with a 76% winner profile.
How does this Bitcoin market resolve?
The market resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream. It compares the Bitcoin price at the start and end of the 11:25–11:30 PM ET window, not prices from other exchanges or data providers.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
This event resolves after the 5-minute trading window ends at 11:30 PM ET on May 22, with the listed resolution time corresponding to May 23 at 03:30 UTC.