Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,244 tracked · resolves Jul 1, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 8:20AM-8:25AM ET window on July 1 higher or lower than where it started, using Chainlink BTC/USD data. PolySpotter has flagged activity from a profitable BTC micro bettor, with $1,244 in tracked smart-money exposure across the event.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET1 signal · $1,244 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable BTC micro bettor

    Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 76% resolved win rate with positive lifetime P&L and bought Down before it moved from 54¢ to 72¢.

    $1,244Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 2.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xa4af648328$1,244 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down July 1 odds?

The odds reflect the market-implied chance that Bitcoin’s Chainlink BTC/USD price will be up or down over the 8:20AM-8:25AM ET window on July 1. Check the live market for the latest pricing, as five-minute crypto markets can move quickly.

What is the smart money doing in this Bitcoin prediction market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,244 in smart-money activity for this event, including a signal from a profitable BTC micro bettor. That suggests at least one historically successful short-duration Bitcoin trader has taken a position.

How does this Polymarket event resolve?

The event resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 8:25AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 8:20AM ET. If the ending price is lower, it resolves to “Down.”

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not prices from an individual exchange or another crypto data provider.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down July 1 market resolve?

This event is scheduled to resolve after the 8:20AM-8:25AM ET window on July 1, with the listed resolution time corresponding to 12:25 UTC.