Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,033 tracked · resolves Jul 3, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 4:05–4:10AM ET window on July 3 higher or lower, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $1,033 in smart money activity, with a recent signal showing an 82% crypto bettor leaning into this short-term BTC move.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET1 signal · $1,033 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 82% crypto bettor

    Sharp short-term crypto bettor with an 82% record and $50k lifetime profit bought Up at even odds.

    $1,033Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xf0c24eb793$1,033 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down July 3 odds?

The odds reflect Polymarket traders’ expectations for whether BTC will be at or above its starting price by 4:10AM ET, versus ending lower. Because this is a five-minute market, prices can move quickly as Bitcoin ticks change.

What is the smart money doing on this Bitcoin market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,033 in smart money across this event and one recent signal, including an alert tagged as an 82% crypto bettor. That suggests at least one historically notable crypto trader has taken a position.

How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

The market resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the 4:05–4:10AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the start. Otherwise, it resolves to “Down.”

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. Resolution is based specifically on Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not any single crypto exchange or alternate price feed.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down July 3 market end?

The event covers the five-minute window from 4:05AM to 4:10AM ET on July 3 and is scheduled to resolve after the ending Chainlink BTC/USD value is available.