Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,023 tracked · resolves Jul 4, 2026

This event tracks a 5-minute Bitcoin price prediction market for July 4, 1:05–1:10AM ET, resolving “Up” if Chainlink’s BTC/USD price ends at or above where it started and “Down” otherwise. PolySpotter has flagged smart money activity in this micro-market, including an alert noting an 84% BTC micro-market winner, giving traders extra context beyond the headline odds.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET1 signal · $1,023 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 84% BTC micro-market winner

    Sharp wallet with an 84% resolved win rate and +$81k P&L bought Down at 50¢ before the market moved to 100%.

    $1,023Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 2.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xed2f4c9897$1,023 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins

FAQs

What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4, 1:05–1:10AM ET?

The odds reflect Polymarket traders’ expectations for whether Bitcoin will finish the 5-minute window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. Check the event page for the latest live pricing and implied probabilities.

What does “Up” mean in this Bitcoin prediction market?

“Up” resolves yes if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 1:10AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 1:05AM ET. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

Is smart money betting on this Bitcoin micro-market?

PolySpotter tracks $1,023 in smart money across this event with 1 signal detected. A recent alert highlighted an 84% BTC micro-market winner, suggesting notable trader activity worth monitoring.

What data source determines the outcome?

This market resolves using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, not prices from exchanges or other crypto data providers.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The event resolves after the 5-minute window ending July 4 at 1:10AM ET, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are confirmed.