Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
2 signals across 1 market · $4,283 tracked · resolves Jul 4, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 1:25AM-1:30AM ET window on July 4 at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. Traders are effectively betting on a five-minute BTC move, with PolySpotter tracking $4,283 in smart money activity and recent signals from a 96% crypto scalper and an 85% crypto timer.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 96% crypto scalper
Proven sharp wallet with a 96% win rate and +$62.7k P&L bought Up at 65¢ shortly before it moved to 100¢.
$1,574Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 4.0 - 85% crypto timer
A proven crypto micro-market bettor with 85% wins and +$91k lifetime bought Down at 60¢, though this specific 5-minute market has since moved to 0%.
$2,709Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xed2f4c…9897$2,709 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xab7136…2ada$1,574 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the Bitcoin Up or Down odds for July 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET?
The odds reflect the market-implied chance that Bitcoin ends the five-minute window at or above its starting price. Check the live Polymarket price on the event page for the latest Up and Down probabilities.
What does the smart money say about this Bitcoin prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,283 in smart money activity across this event, including signals from a 96% crypto scalper and an 85% crypto timer. These alerts can help show whether experienced short-term crypto traders are leaning Up or Down.
How does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?
It resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 1:30AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 1:25AM ET. If the ending price is lower, it resolves to Down.
Is this market based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?
No. The resolution source is Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream, so the outcome is based on that feed rather than any single exchange price.