Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $2,744 tracked · resolves Jul 4, 2026

This event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the July 4, 2:50AM–2:55AM ET window higher or lower based on Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream. PolySpotter follows the Polymarket odds plus smart money activity, including a signal from an 85% win-rate BTC bettor with $2,744 tracked on the event.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET1 signal · $2,744 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 85% win-rate BTC bettor

    A proven sharp wallet with an 85% win rate and $94k profit bought Down in a short BTC direction market, though the price has since moved against the entry.

    $2,744Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xed2f4c9897$2,744 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins

FAQs

What is the Bitcoin Up or Down July 4 prediction market?

It is a short-term Polymarket event on whether the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 2:55AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 2:50AM ET. If it is, the market resolves to Up; otherwise, it resolves to Down.

How do the odds work for this Bitcoin Up or Down event?

The odds reflect how traders are pricing the chance that Bitcoin ends the five-minute window up versus down. Prices can move quickly as BTC trades and new bettors enter the market.

What is the smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter has tracked $2,744 in smart money activity and one notable signal, including activity from an 85% win-rate BTC bettor. That can help users see whether experienced crypto traders are leaning Up or Down.

When does this Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The event resolves after the July 4, 2:50AM–2:55AM ET window ends, using Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream as the resolution source.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another exchange price?

No. This Polymarket event resolves using Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream, so the relevant price is the Chainlink stream value rather than a specific exchange quote.