Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
1 signal across 1 market · $1,212 tracked · resolves Jul 4, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 3:45–3:50AM ET window on July 4 higher or lower versus its starting price, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $1,212 in smart money activity on the event, including a recent signal where a 93% crypto winner bought Up.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf8e50a…905b$1,212 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4, 3:45–3:50AM ET?
The odds move with Polymarket trading as bettors price whether Bitcoin will end the five-minute window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity.
What is the smart money betting on in this Bitcoin Up/Down market?
The latest tracked signal shows a 93% crypto winner buying Up, with $1,212 in smart money tracked across the event. That suggests at least one high-performing crypto trader is leaning toward Bitcoin finishing the window higher or flat.
How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 3:50AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 3:45AM ET. If it is lower, the market resolves to Down.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down event resolve?
This event resolves after the 3:45–3:50AM ET window on July 4, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD data is available.