Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,212 tracked · resolves Jul 4, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes the 3:45–3:50AM ET window on July 4 higher or lower versus its starting price, using Chainlink BTC/USD data for resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $1,212 in smart money activity on the event, including a recent signal where a 93% crypto winner bought Up.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET1 signal · $1,212 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 93% crypto winner bought Up

    Sharp crypto bettor with a 93% resolved win rate bought Up at 59¢ on a thin 5-minute BTC market that has already moved to 80¢.

    $1,212Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xf8e50a905b$1,212 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins

FAQs

What are the odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4, 3:45–3:50AM ET?

The odds move with Polymarket trading as bettors price whether Bitcoin will end the five-minute window at or above its starting Chainlink BTC/USD price. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity.

What is the smart money betting on in this Bitcoin Up/Down market?

The latest tracked signal shows a 93% crypto winner buying Up, with $1,212 in smart money tracked across the event. That suggests at least one high-performing crypto trader is leaning toward Bitcoin finishing the window higher or flat.

How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

The market resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 3:50AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 3:45AM ET. If it is lower, the market resolves to Down.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down event resolve?

This event resolves after the 3:45–3:50AM ET window on July 4, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD data is available.