Event

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

1 signal across 1 market · $1,033 tracked · resolves Jul 4, 2026

This event tracks whether Bitcoin finishes up or down over the 5-minute window from July 4, 8:05AM to 8:10AM ET, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream for resolution. PolySpotter shows the live prediction-market odds plus smart-money activity, including a recent signal from a 79% win-rate trader with about $1,033 tracked across the event.

Markets (1)

  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET1 signal · $1,033 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 79% win-rate trader

    Sharp wallet with a 79% win rate and strong lifetime profit sold Down, equivalent to buying Up at 38¢, on a short BTC direction market.

    $1,033Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x3d418731de$1,033 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins

FAQs

What are the Bitcoin Up or Down July 4 odds?

The market odds reflect the probability traders assign to Bitcoin ending the 8:05–8:10AM ET window at or above its starting price. On PolySpotter, you can track the latest Polymarket pricing alongside smart-money signals.

How does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

It resolves to “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 8:10AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 8:05AM ET. If it is lower, the market resolves to “Down.”

What is the smart money doing on this event?

PolySpotter has tracked about $1,033 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent signal tied to a trader with a 79% win rate.

Is this based on Coinbase, Binance, or another Bitcoin price?

No. This market resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so prices from individual exchanges may differ and do not determine the outcome.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve after the 8:05–8:10AM ET window on July 4, once the relevant Chainlink BTC/USD start and end prices are available.