Event

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig

8 signals across 2 markets · $79,004 tracked · resolves May 2, 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig is a Bundesliga prediction market event for the May 2, 2026 match, covering whether Leverkusen wins and whether Leipzig wins. PolySpotter is tracking $79,004 in smart-money activity across 8 signals, including winner-heavy Yes buying, a sharp sports bettor buying a dip, and a profitable new whale entering Yes.

Markets (2)

  1. Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?6 signals · $67,354 tracked
  2. Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02?2 signals · $11,650 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp 11-wallet No cluster

    Strong one-sided No flow from 11 wallets, including multiple highly profitable sports traders with 93-95% win rates, during a 361x pre-event volume spike.

    $27,354Score: 18.5
  2. 96% winner buying Yes

    High-confidence sports trade from a wallet with a 96% resolved win rate, large lifetime profit, and repeated cross-market success despite modest size.

    $1,090Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 16.6
  3. 91% winner buying YES

    A highly profitable 91% lifetime bettor placed a $27.9k BUY on Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade candidate.

    $27,851Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 11.1
  4. Sharp sports bettor buying dip

    A proven profitable sports bettor put $10k on RB Leipzig Yes near market close, but the price has since moved sharply against the entry.

    $10,000Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 9.0
  5. Profitable new whale buying YES

    A repeat new-wallet whale with strong early profits is buying Leverkusen Yes, making this a worthwhile sports follow despite a modest resolved sample.

    $5,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 6.0
  6. $2.6M profitable serial bettor

    Proven high-volume sports bettor with a 67% win rate and $2.6M profit is buying RB Leipzig No amid a major pre-event volume spike.

    $1,650Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 4.1
  7. New perfect-record sports bettor

    A young repeat bettor with a perfect 9-0 resolved record and $22K profit is making another sizable sports bet on Leverkusen not winning.

    $4,990Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 4.0
  8. 92% winner chasing momentum

    A proven 92% winner bought Yes into a major price breakout on Leverkusen, though the entry is already very high at 89¢.

    $1,070Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 2.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xfd293077ae$27,851 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
  2. 0x2b031f2c36$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
  3. 0xbd14b6d62a$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
  4. 0xdd517b1041$4,990 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
  5. 0x7ea571de7b$1,650 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
  6. 0xefddbb017f$1,090 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  7. 0x8c1be763dd$1,070 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?

This event hub tracks the live prediction-market odds for the main outcomes being traded: whether Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins and whether RB Leipzig wins on May 2, 2026.

What is the smart money doing on this match?

PolySpotter has tracked $79,004 in smart-money activity across 8 signals. Recent alerts include 96% and 91% winner buying Yes, a sharp sports bettor buying a dip, and a profitable new whale buying Yes.

Are sharp bettors backing Leverkusen or Leipzig?

The event has shown notable sharp activity, including Yes-side buying from profitable bettors and a sharp 11-wallet No cluster. Check the live child markets to see which team’s win market each signal is tied to.

Can the match end in a draw on these markets?

Yes. The listed child markets are about whether Leverkusen wins and whether Leipzig wins; if the match is drawn, neither team-win market would resolve as a win.

When does Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig resolve?

The event is scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026, and is expected to resolve after the Bundesliga match result is known, with the listed resolution time around 16:30 UTC.