1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets
13 signals across 1 market · $74,462 tracked · resolves Apr 25, 2026
This PolySpotter event tracks prediction-market odds for 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München, focused on the over/under 3.5 goals market for the April 25 Bundesliga match. Smart money activity has been concentrated around the Under, with 13 tracked signals and $74,462 in smart money volume across the event.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Serial timer cluster on Under
Three wallets piled into Under 3.5 at 48¢ within 90 seconds of resolution, led by a serial near-resolution bettor with 3,502 resolved trades and $6.43M profit.
$12,780Score: 13.1 - Serial timer with $6.4M P&L
A highly profitable serial timer with a 73% win rate and $6.4M P&L bought Under 1.4 minutes before resolution on a spiking live soccer total, a strong signal of real-time edge.
$7,040Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 12.4 - Profitable serial live bettor
A highly profitable serial timer with a 77% win rate made a $16.1k live bet just 3.4 minutes before resolution in a spiking Bundesliga total-goals market.
$16,094Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 12.0 - Profitable late-game sports bettor
A profitable serial sports trader with a 66% win rate bought Over less than 2 minutes before resolution into a massive volume spike, suggesting a live-betting edge worth tracking.
$2,691Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 9.3 - 94% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and nearly $98k in realized profit is opening a fresh position on Under 3.5 at 51¢.
$1,508Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - 89% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 89% win rate and $1.38M P&L is making a fresh $5.1k buy on Over at 51¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.
$5,076Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 8.0 - 89% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate and $1.38M in profits just bought Over at 48¢, making this a credible sharp sports bet worth following.
$1,127Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 8.0 - 89% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 89% win rate and $1.38M P&L just placed an $8.9k fresh bet on Over at even odds.
$8,865Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 8.0 - 93% win-rate soccer bettor
A small but notable late bet from a bettor with a 93% win rate and strong edge, placed into a market seeing an unusual pre-match volume surge.
$985Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 6.2 - New wallet with perfect start
A 6-day-old wallet with 11 prior large-bet flags, a perfect 6-for-6 resolved record, and $8k profit is making another meaningful sports bet near even odds.
$1,576Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 6.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfe787d…0319$22,741 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x1f28a0…266e$16,094 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x4d3079…a42d$15,068 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 90% wins
- 0x05f602…8cec$2,691 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0x0fde68…abce$1,576 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xfb1388…5946$1,508 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x63230f…9fee$1,019 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x5af40a…183c$985 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
FAQs
What markets are available for Mainz vs Bayern on Polymarket?
This event currently covers the Mainz vs Bayern over/under 3.5 goals market, where traders are pricing whether the Bundesliga match will finish with more than 3.5 total goals or under that line.
What is the smart money doing on Mainz vs Bayern?
Recent PolySpotter alerts point to notable Under activity, including a serial timer cluster, a profitable serial live bettor, a profitable late-game sports bettor, and an 89% win-rate bettor. In total, PolySpotter has tracked $74,462 in smart money and 13 signals across the event.
How should I read the Mainz vs Bayern odds?
Prediction-market odds reflect the market-implied probability of each outcome. If the Under 3.5 price rises, traders are becoming more confident the match will have three or fewer total goals; if Over 3.5 rises, the market is leaning toward four or more goals.
When does the Mainz vs Bayern market resolve?
The event is scheduled for April 25, with resolution expected after the match outcome is known. PolySpotter lists the resolution time as April 25, 2026 at 13:30 UTC.