1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg
10 signals across 3 markets · $62,069 tracked · resolves Apr 12, 2026
This Bundesliga event tracks the prediction market for 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg on April 12, 2026, with separate outcomes for a Mainz win, a Freiburg win, or a draw. PolySpotter is monitoring $62,069 in smart money across 10 signals, including activity from high win-rate live bettors, a 28-0 sharp sports bettor, and a profitable serial sports trader.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 8-wallet soccer No cluster
Eight wallets piled $36k into No on this soccer draw market during a huge volume spike, and the cluster includes at least one standout 100% hit-rate trader plus several profitable high-volume cross-market bettors.
$36,034Score: 18.2 - 98% win-rate live bettor
A highly profitable live-sports bettor with a 98% win rate placed a sizable bet on Freiburg 30 seconds before resolution and is already getting a better price than the market.
$6,368Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 12.5 - 28-0 sharp sports bettor
A proven sharp bettor with a perfect 28-for-28 resolved record bought No into a massive pre-match volume spike, and the market has already moved in their favor.
$3,062Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 11.8 - 90% win-rate live bettor
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 90% win rate bought No just 3 minutes before resolution, a pattern consistent with a real edge in live markets.
$2,428Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 10.9 - Profitable serial sports trader
A high-volume serial sports trader with 2,665 resolved bets and $450k profit bought No into a massive pre-match volume spike, and the market has already moved in their favor.
$1,054Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 6.8 - 90% win-rate bettor
A high-win-rate sports bettor with a strong history across many events just put a fresh $5.8k position on No at 72¢, making this a credible followable bet despite the liquid market.
$5,767Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 6.0 - 86-0 sharp bettor
A bettor with a perfect 86-for-86 resolved record and strong profits bought SC Freiburg Yes at 29¢, making this sharp-flow worth surfacing despite the modest bet size.
$1,223Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.0 - Pro sports sharp flips Yes
A highly profitable high-volume bettor with a 73% win rate opened a fresh $3.6k Yes position at 71¢ after previously closing a small No bet, making this a modest but credible follow from a proven wallet.
$3,643Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 4.0 - Sharp bettor fading spike
A proven profitable sports bettor with a 78% win rate bought No after a sharp market swing, suggesting a contrarian entry against recent momentum.
$982Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 2.0 - Linked soccer bettor caught repricing
A profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought No before a major repricing in a heavily traded soccer market, with linked-wallet activity adding conviction.
$1,509Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 1.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfd2930…77ae$6,368 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xd5773f…2bb7$5,767 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$3,643 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xbe87c7…6fc0$3,062 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0xe1a60b…d584$2,428 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0x5d1d9c…afd2$1,509 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0xa05137…54eb$1,223 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x01c78f…e995$1,054 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0x26e723…cc6c$982 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
FAQs
What are the prediction market odds for Mainz 05 vs Freiburg?
The event hub tracks market-implied odds across all three outcomes: Mainz 05 win, SC Freiburg win, and draw. Prices can move as traders react to team news, form, lineup information, and live betting activity.
What is the smart money doing on Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg?
PolySpotter has tracked $62,069 in smart money across 10 signals for this event. Recent alerts include an 8-wallet soccer cluster on the No side of a market, high win-rate live bettors, a 28-0 sharp sports bettor, and a profitable serial sports trader.
Can I bet on the draw in Mainz 05 vs Freiburg?
Yes. This event includes a dedicated child market for whether Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg will end in a draw, alongside separate markets for each team to win.
When does the Mainz 05 vs Freiburg market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the Bundesliga match on Sunday, April 12, 2026, with the listed resolution time of 17:30 UTC, subject to Polymarket’s official rules and any match delays or changes.
Where can I follow Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Polymarket activity?
You can use this PolySpotter event hub to follow the Mainz 05 vs Freiburg prediction market, including odds movement, outcome pricing, and smart money alerts across the win and draw markets.