FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München
15 signals across 2 markets · $245,625 tracked · resolves Apr 11, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds for the Bundesliga match between FC St. Pauli 1910 and FC Bayern München on April 11, 2026. Traders are pricing outcomes across the Bayern win market and the draw market, with $245,625 in smart money tracked across 15 signals. Recent activity includes a 4-wallet Bayern surge, sharp buying on the draw, and signals from high win-rate sports bettors.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 9-wallet fade cluster
A 9-wallet cluster, including 4 linked wallets and a standout bettor with a perfect resolved record, piled $41k into Bayern 'No' during an extreme pre-event volume spike.
$41,202Score: 23.9 - 4-wallet Bayern surge
A 4-wallet cluster put nearly $110k on Bayern in a short burst during a 166x volume spike, led by a highly profitable high-volume trader with over $1.18M in lifetime profit.
$109,881Score: 16.2 - Sharp cluster buying draw
A proven high-volume bettor with a 74% win rate led a 3-wallet, one-sided cluster into the draw side during a massive pre-match volume spike, making this coordinated contrarian move worth watching.
$28,875Score: 11.1 - 96% win-rate sports sharp
A proven sharp sports trader with a 96% win rate bought No at 27¢ into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the liquid market.
$7,825Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 10.7 - 82% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate bought No into heavy pre-match volume, making this a credible follow signal despite the market being liquid.
$2,155Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 9.0 - Profitable serial timer
A profitable serial timer placed a bet just 1.1 minutes before this live soccer market resolved, a pattern that has generated nearly $70k in profit across 44 similar near-resolution bets.
$1,101Wallet win rate: 52%Score: 8.0 - 93% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% win rate is taking a contrarian No position against Bayern at 31¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.
$1,498Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial sports timer
A high-volume serial sports trader with a strong long-term record bought Bayern just 3 minutes before resolution during a major pre-resolution volume surge.
$2,808Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 7.6 - 91% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 91% win rate bought Bayern Yes into a massive pre-match volume spike, making this a strong signal despite the market being liquid.
$7,269Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 7.2 - 5-wallet fade of Bayern
Five active wallets sold the Bayern Yes side into a sharp pre-match volume spike, effectively coordinating a sizable buy on No around 13-16¢ despite Bayern trading at 88%.
$21,661Score: 6.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x87a146…b6ba$7,825 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0xb917bb…02c6$7,269 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xa71093…23c4$6,811 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0x555fbc…9525$5,425 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x86fbea…03d4$4,961 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0xe4d384…c2f0$2,913 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x116c6d…e162$2,808 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$2,155 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x1bc8b6…2f68$1,498 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xb5bd8e…b891$1,240 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
FAQs
What are the St. Pauli vs Bayern prediction market odds?
This event hub shows the live Polymarket pricing for the main traded outcomes, including whether Bayern München wins and whether St. Pauli vs Bayern ends in a draw.
What is the smart money doing on St. Pauli vs Bayern?
PolySpotter has tracked $245,625 in smart money across 15 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a 4-wallet Bayern surge, sharp cluster buying on the draw, and a 9-wallet fade cluster.
Are sharp bettors backing Bayern or the draw?
Recent signals point to interest on both sides of the event: multiple wallets have surged into Bayern, while another sharp cluster has been buying the draw. The hub helps compare those flows against current market odds.
Who are the notable bettors in this market?
PolySpotter has flagged activity from high-performing sports accounts, including a 96% win-rate sports sharp and an 82% win-rate sports bettor, alongside multi-wallet cluster activity.
When does the St. Pauli vs Bayern market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve after the Bundesliga match on Saturday, April 11, 2026, with resolution expected by 16:30 UTC based on the listed event timing.