Event

Baylor vs. Arizona State

14 signals across 10 markets · $72,001 tracked · resolves Oct 4, 2026

Polymarket markets cover the October 3 Baylor–Arizona State football game, including the game winner and an Arizona State -3.5 spread. PolySpotter tracked one smart-money signal: a $21,600 bet from a trader with a 95% win rate; the alert does not specify the side.

Markets (10)

  1. Spread: Arizona State (-3.5)3 signals · $24,875 tracked
  2. Spread: Baylor (-6.5)1 signal · $11,586 tracked
  3. Spread: Baylor (-3.5)1 signal · $9,694 tracked
  4. Baylor vs. Arizona State3 signals · $7,095 tracked
  5. Spread: Baylor (-14.5)1 signal · $6,774 tracked
  6. Baylor vs. Arizona State: O/U 61.51 signal · $3,297 tracked
  7. Baylor vs. Arizona State: O/U 59.51 signal · $3,148 tracked
  8. Baylor vs. Arizona State: O/U 65.51 signal · $2,033 tracked
  9. Baylor vs. Arizona State: 1Q O/U 10.51 signal · $1,999 tracked
  10. Spread: Baylor (-10.5)1 signal · $1,500 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 94% winner making a $9.7K Baylor bet

    A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate made a roughly $9.7K concentrated Baylor bet in a thin market, alongside substantial same-event positioning.

    $9,694Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.9
  2. 94% winner with major event position

    A highly profitable bettor with 94% wins across 321 resolved positions is buying Over in a very quiet market and has substantial related-event positioning.

    $2,033Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.0
  3. 90% winner scaling into Arizona State

    A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate is adding Arizona State exposure, alongside substantial positioning across five markets in the same event.

    $6,774Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 6.7
  4. 145–0 proven bettor backs Under

    A highly profitable bettor with 145 wins from 145 resolved positions placed a $1,999 Under bet in a thinly traded college football market.

    $1,999Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.0
  5. 90% winner takes $11.6K Arizona State position

    A highly profitable bettor with 90% wins and over $1.1M in P&L put $11.6K into Arizona State across several event markets, despite the position now trading lower.

    $11,586Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 6.0
  6. Proven 86% winner backs Arizona State

    A highly profitable bettor with 235 resolved positions and an 86% win rate bought Arizona State amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.

    $2,000Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 5.8
  7. 94% winner backs the Over

    A highly profitable bettor with 94% wins took a sizable Over position in a thin market, and the price has since risen 10 points.

    $3,148Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.6
  8. Proven 82% bettor backs Arizona State

    A highly profitable bettor with 1,024 resolved positions and an 82% win rate made a $1,500 Arizona State bet at even odds, despite recent price movement toward Baylor.

    $1,500Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.6
  9. 95% winner makes $21.6K bet

    A highly profitable bettor with 824 resolved positions and a reported 95% win rate placed a $21,600 bet on Arizona State at 48¢.

    $21,600Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4
  10. 90% winner backing Arizona State

    A highly profitable bettor with 278 resolved positions bought Arizona State amid an 88.8x volume spike.

    $3,695Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 5.4

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xb4f978…c9a7$22,054 · 3 markets · 3 alerts · 87% wins
  2. 0x16bb99…8492$21,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  3. 0x7e3a1f…3246$14,876 · 3 markets · 3 alerts · 92% wins
  4. 0x558f2f…1a56$3,297 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
  5. 0xd6966e…8a49$2,075 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
  6. 0xd38ad2…8d26$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
  7. 0x2b3441…176e$1,999 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
  8. 0xd38b71…5029$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
  9. 0x125084…8f99$1,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
  10. 0x8cbbf4…e8a8$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Baylor vs. Arizona State prediction-market odds?

The event page tracks markets for the game, including an Arizona State -3.5 spread. Check the live market prices for current odds, as they can change.

What is the smart money doing on Baylor vs. Arizona State?

PolySpotter recorded one smart-money signal totaling $21,600. The alert identifies the trader as having a 95% win rate but does not state which side the bet supports.

Which Baylor vs. Arizona State outcomes are being traded?

Markets cover the game's winner and the Arizona State -3.5 spread. The winner market includes overtime if played.

When does the Baylor vs. Arizona State market resolve?

The game is scheduled for October 3 at 10:30 p.m. ET, and the event is listed to resolve by October 4, 2026, at 2:30 a.m. UTC, subject to the game being completed.