Iowa vs. Michigan
10 signals across 6 markets · $150,944 tracked · resolves Sep 26, 2026
Polymarket traders are forecasting the Iowa–Michigan game across the winner, two point totals and three Michigan spread markets. PolySpotter has tracked $150,944 in smart money across 10 signals, with alerts showing activity on both teams: several strong signals favor Michigan, while a four-wallet cluster backs Iowa.
Markets (6)
Top trades across all markets
- 97% winner leads Michigan cluster
Five wallets bought $31,293 of Michigan during a 12.7x volume spike, including a proven bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial edge.
$84,611Score: 7.9 - 89% winner leads Iowa cluster
A three-wallet $22.7K Iowa cluster includes an exceptionally profitable 89% win-rate bettor and coincides with a 19.8x volume spike.
$22,671Score: 6.9 - Four-wallet sharp-money Iowa cluster
Four wallets committed over $21,000 to Iowa, including two highly profitable sharp bettors, creating a strong one-sided signal despite one position being an add-on and one a partial Michigan exit.
$21,298Score: 6.3 - 93% winner backs Michigan
A highly profitable, proven bettor with a 93% win rate is buying Michigan at 52¢, making this a strong track-record-backed pick.
$2,600Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.7 - 95% winner backs Michigan
A highly profitable bettor with 9,493 resolved positions and a 95% win rate bought Michigan at 49¢, making this a strong sports signal.
$1,484Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - Proven bettor takes sizable Under position
A highly profitable bettor with 9,493 resolved positions and a reported 35-point edge bought Under with a $2,186 position exceeding the market’s 24-hour volume.
$2,186Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - Serial bettor scaling into Iowa
A serial cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate is adding to an existing $4,652 Iowa position at 33%, signaling meaningful conviction despite only modest historical edge over entry prices.
$1,535Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 4.3 - Eight-market event position
The wallet has built a substantial position across eight markets tied to the same event, with $54,546 in total exposure, though its long-term win rate does not show a clear edge over its average winning price.
$1,070Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 4.3 - Profitable bettor with an eight-market event position
A profitable, high-volume bettor committed about $8.5k to Michigan and has $37k positioned across eight markets in the same event, though the wallet’s win rate does not clearly beat its average win price.
$8,472Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 3.7 - Profitable bettor scaling into game markets
A $5,017 Over bet is sizeable relative to market liquidity, and the bettor has additional positions across three markets tied to the game plus a long, profitable history.
$5,017Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 3.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x526852…135d$14,559 · 3 markets · 3 alerts · 55% wins
- 0x161a7f…4103$3,670 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0xe015b5…6ffd$2,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x50d07d…a6fc$1,535 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
FAQs
What Iowa vs. Michigan odds can I track on Polymarket?
The event includes a market on the game winner, over/under markets at 32.5 and 44.5 points, and Michigan spread markets at -5.5, -6.5 and -7.5. Check the live markets for current prices.
What is smart money doing on Iowa vs. Michigan?
PolySpotter has tracked 10 smart-money signals totaling $150,944. Recent alerts show strong Michigan-backed signals as well as a four-wallet Iowa cluster, so activity is present on both sides.
When is the Iowa vs. Michigan game and when does the market resolve?
The game is scheduled for September 26, 2026, at 3:30 p.m. ET. The winner market resolves after the game is completed; overtime counts.
What happens if Iowa vs. Michigan ends in a tie or is canceled?
If the game ends in a tie, the winner market resolves 50-50. If it is postponed, the market stays open until the game is played; if it is canceled without a makeup game, it resolves 50-50.