Iowa vs. Minnesota
11 signals across 3 markets · $39,326 tracked · resolves Oct 24, 2026
The Iowa vs. Minnesota Polymarket event currently features a spread market with Iowa favored by 6.5 points. PolySpotter has tracked $1,458 in smart-money activity and one signal, including a proven bettor backing Iowa.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Proven 93% winner backing Iowa
A highly profitable bettor with 416 resolved positions bought Iowa, supported by a major price-impact signal despite the market now trading lower.
$1,218Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.0 - Four-wallet cluster with a proven sharp
Four wallets put $19.3K on Minnesota at 50¢ during a 13.6x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with an 89% win rate.
$9,511Score: 6.9 - Perfect-record bettor adds to Minnesota
A highly profitable bettor with 68 wins from 68 resolved positions is adding to a large Minnesota position amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$16,124Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 5.8 - Proven bettor backing Iowa
A highly profitable bettor with 592 resolved positions and a reported 94% win rate is buying Iowa near the current market price.
$1,458Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.4 - 95% winner backs Minnesota
A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate and $7.1M in reported profit bought Minnesota at 44¢.
$1,576Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - Proven 80% bettor adds Minnesota
A proven bettor with 80% wins across 300 resolved positions added to a Minnesota position at 31¢, well below the listed 36% odds.
$1,024Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.4 - Exceptional-record bettor against the market
A highly profitable bettor with an exceptional long-term record bought Minnesota at 85¢, but the market now prices Minnesota at 22¢, making this a high-risk, sharply adverse move.
$1,961Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - 82% winner taking Minnesota profits
A highly profitable, experienced bettor sold Minnesota, but the prior position history suggests this may be profit-taking rather than a fresh Iowa position.
$1,503Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.7 - 82% winner taking Minnesota profits
A highly profitable, experienced bettor sold Minnesota, but the prior position history suggests this may be profit-taking rather than a fresh Iowa position.
$1,467Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.7 - 82% winner taking Minnesota profits
A highly profitable, experienced bettor sold Minnesota, but the prior position history suggests this may be profit-taking rather than a fresh Iowa position.
$1,769Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe4a573…3cad$16,124 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x2bf0a8…728f$6,453 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x161a7f…4103$1,961 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x16bb99…8492$1,576 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x684baa…8409$1,458 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x7e3a1f…3246$1,218 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x78d850…ce05$1,024 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the Iowa vs. Minnesota prediction market odds?
This event includes a market on Iowa covering the -6.5 spread. Check the live market for current prices and implied odds.
What is smart money betting on in Iowa vs. Minnesota?
PolySpotter has recorded one smart-money signal, with a proven bettor backing Iowa. The event has $1,458 in tracked smart-money activity.
When does the Iowa vs. Minnesota market resolve?
The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026, at 1:00 p.m. ET, and the event is expected to resolve by 7:30 p.m. UTC that day. Overtime counts if played.
What does Iowa -6.5 mean?
Iowa must win by at least 7 points to cover the -6.5 spread. A smaller Iowa win or a Minnesota win means Iowa does not cover.