Event

North Texas vs. Texas State

9 signals across 3 markets · $47,792 tracked · resolves Sep 19, 2026

Follow the North Texas vs. Texas State college football prediction market, covering both teams’ chances of winning and a 50-50 resolution if the game ends tied. PolySpotter is tracking $1,428 in smart money and a signal from a serial sports bettor with a reported 93% win rate.

Markets (3)

  1. Spread: Texas State (-2.5)3 signals · $23,926 tracked
  2. North Texas vs. Texas State5 signals · $12,267 tracked
  3. Spread: Texas State (-1.5)1 signal · $11,599 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Coordinated Texas State whale buying

    A concentrated $17,091 Texas State position coincides with a 1,031x volume spike and linked-wallet activity, making this a strong coordinated sports-market signal despite mixed wallet quality.

    $17,091Score: 9.4
  2. 93% win-rate serial sports bettor

    A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 93% win rate made a large fresh bet on Texas State in a thin market.

    $1,428Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.6
  3. 93% win-rate sharp backs Texas State

    A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,000 bet on Texas State at 54%.

    $2,000Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.6
  4. Profitable serial bettor buys North Texas

    A highly experienced and profitable bettor placed a concentrated $11.6K position on North Texas in an exceptionally quiet market, making this a meaningful directional trade despite only moderate composite severity.

    $11,599Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 4.9
  5. Sharp bettor adds to Texas State

    A highly profitable sports bettor with a 77% win rate and strong historical edge is adding $4,835 to Texas State at 53%.

    $4,835Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.9
  6. Profitable bettor scaling into Texas State

    A highly profitable, experienced bettor made a fresh $3.8K Texas State position amid an extreme event-volume spike and corroborating cross-market activity.

    $3,830Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 4.4
  7. Profitable bettor scales into North Texas

    An experienced, profitable serial cross-market bettor added to an existing North Texas position during an extreme volume spike.

    $1,260Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 4.4
  8. Proven bettor backs Texas State

    A highly experienced, profitable sports trader with 9,007 resolved bets bought Texas State before its odds rose from 71% to 80%.

    $1,250Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.4
  9. 94% winner adds to Texas State

    A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $4,500 to an existing Texas State position during an extreme volume spike.

    $4,500Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 3.1

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x224a89a3d5$16,678 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 66% wins
  2. 0xf3a6ac71bd$4,835 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
  3. 0x28ea3e1fbe$4,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  4. 0x78b0099f1a$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
  5. 0xb4f978c9a7$1,428 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
  6. 0xcb511ad2f5$1,260 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the North Texas vs. Texas State prediction-market odds?

The live Polymarket odds show how traders are pricing North Texas and Texas State to win. Check the event page for current prices, which can change as betting activity and game information develop.

What is the smart money doing on North Texas vs. Texas State?

PolySpotter is tracking one smart money signal in this event, including activity from a serial sports bettor with a reported 93% win rate. The event has $1,428 in tracked smart money.

When does the North Texas vs. Texas State market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve after the game on September 19, 2026. Overtime counts, and the market remains open if the game is postponed until it is completed.

What happens if North Texas vs. Texas State ends in a tie?

If the game ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50 between North Texas and Texas State. If the game is canceled without a makeup game, the exchange’s stated resolution rules apply.