Counter-Strike: Astralis vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
12 signals across 3 markets · $237,552 tracked · resolves Oct 3, 2026
The Astralis vs BIG Polymarket event covers their best-of-three Counter-Strike playoff match, with trading focused on the map handicap: Astralis -1.5 or BIG +1.5. PolySpotter has tracked $1,403 in smart money and one signal, including an alert that a profitable serial bettor added to a position.

Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet Astralis cluster with a proven sharp
Three wallets added $58,385 to Astralis, including a bettor with a 22-for-22 record and substantial lifetime profits, alongside a major volume spike.
$58,385Score: 7.1 - Proven bettor backing BIG
A highly profitable bettor with 1,896 resolved positions is buying BIG at 45¢, making this a credible copy-trade signal.
$3,702Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.6 - 96% winner adding to BIG
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% record added to an already substantial BIG position at 47¢.
$6,935Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.6 - Profitable serial trader backing BIG
A highly experienced, profitable trader bought BIG at 74¢, followed by a 20.5-point price rise, though the wallet’s 64% win rate alone does not establish an edge.
$4,096Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.5 - Profitable bettor drives BIG surge
A highly profitable, high-volume trader concentrated more than $8,000 on BIG as the price rose sharply, alongside a notable volume spike.
$9,437Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.3 - Profitable serial trader adds to Astralis
A highly experienced, profitable trader added $68,212 to an existing Astralis position at 53¢, alongside a sharp pre-event volume spike.
$68,212Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 4.1 - Profitable serial bettor adds to position
A profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding to an existing Astralis position in a very low-volume market.
$1,403Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.0 - 22–0 bettor adds to Astralis
A highly profitable bettor with 22 wins from 22 resolved positions added $30,000 to Astralis as market volume spiked sharply.
$30,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.0 - 22–0 bettor adds to Astralis
A highly profitable bettor with 22 wins from 22 resolved positions added $30,000 to Astralis as market volume spiked sharply.
$4,700Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.1 - Profitable whale adding to Astralis
A highly experienced, profitable trader added $45.2K to an existing Astralis position, and the trade accounts for 93% of the market's 24-hour volume.
$45,227Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 3.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x076daa…8d4c$117,185 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 67% wins
- 0x0259b2…769e$34,700 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x4ebc27…a33d$13,533 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0xe40ecf…9770$6,935 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x6b97eb…8d30$3,702 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x29b52d…cc6c$1,709 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0xca5e61…4af1$1,403 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
FAQs
What are the Astralis vs BIG prediction market odds?
The event page tracks the market odds for Astralis -1.5 maps versus BIG +1.5 maps. Odds can change as traders update their positions.
What is the smart money doing on Astralis vs BIG?
PolySpotter tracked one smart money signal totaling $1,403. Its recent alert reported that a profitable serial bettor added to a position.
What outcomes are traded in this event?
The listed child market is a map handicap: Astralis must win by more than 1.5 maps for Astralis -1.5, while BIG +1.5 covers if BIG win or the series is closer.
When does the Astralis vs BIG market resolve?
The match is scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 6:00 AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by October 3, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. Check the market rules for how postponements, cancellations, or a tie are handled.