Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
26 signals across 5 markets · $99,179 tracked · resolves Apr 6, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks Astralis vs TheMongolz in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match at the PGL Bucharest Group Stage, with markets for the match winner, Map 1 and Map 2 winners, total maps over/under 2.5, and map handicap. PolySpotter has tracked $99,179 in smart money activity across 26 signals, including sharp clusters buying the underdog, an 8-wallet cluster, and a high win-rate esports bettor.
Markets (5)
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage12 signals · $65,299 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner7 signals · $22,739 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner4 signals · $4,998 tracked
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)2 signals · $3,279 tracked
- Games Total: O/U 2.51 signal · $2,863 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying underdog
Three wallets piled into TheMongolz on the same map market, including one bettor with an 83% win rate and $1.3M profit, making this coordinated underdog buy worth watching despite the market moving hard against them afterward.
$8,432Score: 13.1 - Sharp bettor in 8-wallet cluster
A proven sharp wallet with an 84% win rate bought TheMongolz in a thin esports market, and it belongs to an 8-wallet linked cluster with a history of coordinated activity.
$987Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 13.0 - 6-wallet funded cluster
A brand-new wallet made a sizable Astralis buy as part of a 6-wallet one-sided cluster with shared funding into a sports market seeing an unusually large pre-match volume surge.
$7,777Score: 11.2 - 90% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 90% win rate bought TheMongolz at 31¢ in a thin esports market and the price has already moved up to 48%.
$1,959Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 10.5 - 3-wallet Astralis cluster
Three wallets piled $14.4k into Astralis within minutes during a 34.9x pre-match volume spike, including one brand-new wallet, making this a notable coordinated bet despite mixed wallet quality.
$14,359Score: 9.1 - 3-wallet dogpile on underdog
Three wallets piled nearly $10.8k into TheMongolz during a sharp pre-match volume spike, creating a coordinated directional signal despite mixed wallet quality.
$10,788Score: 8.9 - 13-wallet funded cluster
A 13-wallet funded cluster is active here, and one of the linked wallets just made a meaningful $2.7k buy into Astralis on a moderate-size esports market.
$2,713Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 8.0 - 83% winner caught value
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 83% win rate bought TheMongolz at 41¢ before the price collapsed to 20¢, suggesting strong value spotting even in a liquid esports market.
$1,608Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 7.7 - New repeat sports whale
A 5-day-old repeat wallet is making another $2.1k sports bet into a market with a strong pre-match volume surge and a recent 32-point move, suggesting fresh conviction worth tracking despite limited history.
$2,123Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 7.3 - 95% win-rate bettor
A bettor with an exceptional 95% win rate and nearly $229k profit bought Astralis at 69¢, making this a strong sharp-money signal despite the modest bet size.
$1,321Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 6.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0xba9ad3…d705$19,584 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0x117100…98dc$8,077 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xf7c266…9b8d$5,857 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 95% wins
- 0x67bb64…b6ef$5,818 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0xe8e1b1…49dd$5,387 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 48% wins
- 0x2cad53…eb66$3,778 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 66% wins
- 0xad72ff…4f5e$2,863 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0xbf5e78…4189$2,713 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0x677052…5bdf$2,123 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0x8dd10e…5a9b$1,968 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
FAQs
What are the Astralis vs TheMongolz odds on Polymarket?
The event hub shows live Polymarket pricing across the full Astralis vs TheMongolz slate, including match winner, individual map winners, total maps over/under 2.5, and the map handicap.
What is smart money doing on Astralis vs TheMongolz?
PolySpotter has tracked $99,179 in smart money across 26 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a sharp cluster buying the underdog, a sharp bettor connected to an 8-wallet cluster, a 6-wallet funded cluster, and a 90% win-rate esports sharp.
Which markets are included in this event?
This event includes the BO3 match winner market, Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, and a map handicap market with TheMongolz -1.5 vs Astralis +1.5.
When does Astralis vs TheMongolz resolve?
The markets are scheduled to resolve based on the official match result, with the event listed to resolve by April 6, 2026 at 19:10 UTC. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated conditions.
Why use PolySpotter for this Counter-Strike prediction market?
PolySpotter highlights smart money activity behind the odds, not just the current prices. For Astralis vs TheMongolz, that means tracking sharp bettors, wallet clusters, and notable esports traders across every related market in the event.