Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
21 signals across 6 markets · $154,996 tracked · resolves Oct 10, 2026
Prediction markets cover the Counter-Strike BO3 semifinal between Aurora Gaming and Vitality, with a map handicap market trading whether Vitality win by more than one map or Aurora keep the series closer. PolySpotter tracked one smart-money signal: a bettor with an 84% profitability rate added to Aurora.
Markets (6)
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner3 signals · $47,027 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs7 signals · $43,379 tracked
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)4 signals · $32,591 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner5 signals · $24,636 tracked
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)1 signal · $5,863 tracked
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)1 signal · $1,500 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 87% winner joins 8-wallet Vitality cluster
A highly profitable bettor with 240 resolved positions bought Vitality amid an eight-wallet one-sided cluster and a sharp volume spike.
$1,029Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 8.5 - 92% winner adding to Vitality
A highly profitable bettor added to a large Vitality position amid eight-wallet coordinated buying and a sharp pre-event volume spike, though the market has since moved against the original entry.
$1,247Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 8.1 - Profitable bettors add $56K on Vitality
A $56.3K Vitality buying cluster includes bettors with strong historical records, though a separate $45.6K Aurora cluster signals meaningful opposition.
$12,073Score: 8.1 - Profitable bettor buying Aurora amid split flow
A profitable bettor and three other wallets bought Aurora at 35–36¢ amid a sharp volume spike, though larger opposing Vitality flow makes the signal mixed.
$13,975Score: 8.1 - Six-wallet Vitality buying cluster
Six wallets committed $17.5K to Vitality, including profitable serial cross-market bettors, though the current 90% price is well above their average entry.
$17,521Score: 8.0 - Proven 81% winner adding to Vitality
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate added $5,863 to an existing Vitality position in a thin market.
$5,863Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 7.5 - Three-wallet cluster led by elite bettors
Three wallets added $8,463 to Vitality, including two bettors with exceptional profitable track records, alongside a sharp pre-event volume spike.
$4,886Score: 7.2 - Four-wallet Vitality accumulation
Four wallets added $18,696 to Vitality amid a 45.6x volume spike, including two profitable bettors with strong records.
$5,793Score: 6.4 - Proven sharp adding to Vitality
A highly profitable bettor with 778 resolved positions and an 84% win rate is adding $2,000 to an existing Vitality position at 48¢.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.4 - Profitable serial trader adds to Vitality
A profitable, highly active bettor with an 81% win rate is adding another $13.3k to an existing Vitality position amid a sharp volume spike.
$13,341Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd3b034…329e$26,382 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$21,939 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xeaa285…670e$13,341 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xa2c908…2c23$9,190 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xeda67a…84c5$5,863 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x52ecea…a6f3$3,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x13659c…c82a$3,123 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x4f0eae…0200$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x446884…b165$2,859 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0x95fc39…7cf2$2,341 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
FAQs
What are the Aurora Gaming vs Vitality prediction-market odds?
The market page shows the latest odds for the event’s map handicap: Vitality (-1.5) versus Aurora Gaming (+1.5). Odds can change as traders place bets.
What is the smart money betting on in Aurora vs Vitality?
PolySpotter tracked one signal, with a bettor who has an 84% profitability rate adding to Aurora. This reflects that bettor’s activity, not a guaranteed outcome.
What outcomes are traded for this match?
The listed child market is a map handicap: Vitality must win by at least two maps to cover -1.5, while Aurora cover +1.5 by winning or keeping the series within one map.
When does the Aurora vs Vitality market resolve?
The match is scheduled for October 10, 2026. The event is listed to resolve by 19:45 UTC that day, subject to the market’s rules if the match is postponed or not played.