Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
7 signals across 3 markets · $27,475 tracked · resolves May 11, 2026
Heroic vs Gentle Mates is a best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match in the PGL Astana Group Stage, with Polymarket traders pricing which team will win. PolySpotter tracks the event-level odds plus smart money activity, including a recent signal from a proven cross-market bettor with about $1,899 tracked across the match market.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 92% winner leads esports steam
Surfacing because a highly profitable 92% lifetime winner joined a 3-wallet one-sided move that drove Gentle Mates from roughly 48-66¢ to 77¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$10,190Score: 11.8 - Elite 93% sharp bettor
Elite high-volume esports bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.5M profit bought $7k of Heroic amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.
$7,000Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - 92% winner bought early
Elite serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought Gentle Mates at 66% before the market moved to 80%.
$2,517Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.3 - Serial esports mover
Serial cross-market esports trader bought Gentle Mates at 57¢ before the market moved sharply to 80¢, though their lifetime P&L is negative.
$1,800Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 7.3 - 92% winner sports sharp
A highly proven cross-market sports bettor with a 92% record and $2.25M profit bought Gentle Mates at 85%, now trading higher.
$1,376Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.0 - Profitable esports regular
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large buy on a relatively small CS2 map market, taking Gentle Mates at 44¢ despite current odds near 43%.
$2,694Wallet win rate: 57%Score: 3.0 - Proven cross-market bettor
Serial cross-market sports/esports bettor with a large 399-bet track record and positive P&L is buying Heroic at 60%.
$1,899Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0dcf5b…c556$7,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$3,893 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x3763a6…345f$2,694 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0x719394…ae51$1,899 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0x871886…5040$1,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
FAQs
What are the Heroic vs Gentle Mates prediction market odds?
The market prices the chance that Heroic or Gentle Mates wins the BO3 match. On PolySpotter, you can follow the live Polymarket odds and see how traders are repricing the matchup as new bets come in.
Is smart money betting on Heroic vs Gentle Mates?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart money signal totaling about $1,899 for this event, including activity from a proven cross-market bettor. That signal can help highlight where experienced prediction-market traders are taking a position.
What outcomes are traded for this event?
This event covers the match winner: Heroic wins the BO3 or Gentle Mates wins the BO3. The market is not about map score or round totals; it resolves based on the official match winner.
When does the Heroic vs Gentle Mates market resolve?
The market is tied to the PGL Astana Group Stage match originally scheduled for May 11 at 1:00AM ET. It resolves after a winner is determined, unless the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules.
Where can I track Heroic vs Gentle Mates on Polymarket?
You can track the Heroic vs Gentle Mates Polymarket event on PolySpotter to see current odds, smart money alerts, and market movement in one place.