Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
8 signals across 3 markets · $40,487 tracked · resolves Oct 2, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the best-of-three Counter-Strike match between Luminosity and BIG in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, with the market covering either team to win. PolySpotter has tracked $19,540 in smart money and one signal; a recent alert noted a four-wallet push behind the leading side, priced at 95%.

Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 95% winner leads four-wallet push
Four wallets bought $19.5K of Luminosity amid a 43x volume spike, including a bettor with a 95% win rate across 351 positions and a substantial edge over average entry odds.
$7,690Score: 7.0 - Three sharp bettors adding to BIG
Three highly profitable bettors added $13.5K to BIG, with individual win rates of 85%–94% and strong historical edges.
$13,529Score: 6.9 - Proven 86% winner adding to BIG
A highly profitable bettor with an 86% win rate is adding to a substantial BIG position, with the trade also flagged for quiet-market size and serial cross-market activity.
$6,829Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 5.4 - 94% winner adding to BIG position
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 94% win rate added $5,000 to an existing BIG position, making this a notable conviction bet.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.0 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A consistently profitable, highly active bettor added $1,040 to an existing Luminosity position at 58¢, below the market's listed 66¢ odds.
$1,040Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.5 - Proven 75% winner backs BIG
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 75% win rate is making a fresh, concentrated bet on BIG at 52%.
$2,876Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.3 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly experienced, historically profitable cross-market trader bought Luminosity amid a 60.9x volume spike, and the price has since risen five points.
$1,160Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 3.8 - New wallet adding to $20K BIG position
A newly created wallet added $2,362 to BIG while already holding a $20,000 position, alongside a reported 69x pre-event volume spike.
$2,362Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x103721…5b09$6,829 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0xf0b6a8…2fef$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x880b1f…c98b$2,876 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x0fdbe6…524e$2,362 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x4ebc27…a33d$1,160 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
- 0xc6f1e1…5729$1,040 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Luminosity vs BIG?
The event page displays the latest market-implied odds for Luminosity and BIG. Odds can change as traders place or adjust positions.
What is the smart money doing on Luminosity vs BIG?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart-money signal and $19,540 across the event. A recent alert flagged a four-wallet push behind the side leading at 95%; check the live event page for current activity.
What outcomes does this Counter-Strike prediction market cover?
The market resolves to Luminosity if they win or to BIG if they win. If the match is canceled without being played or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
When does the Luminosity vs BIG market resolve?
The match was initially scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. ET, and the event is listed to resolve by October 2, 2026. Check the market rules for how postponements are handled.