Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
27 signals across 3 markets · $98,169 tracked · resolves Jul 3, 2026
This event tracks the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 match between Luminosity and NIP in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, with prediction-market odds focused on which team wins the series. PolySpotter is monitoring $1,880 in smart money activity, including a signal from a profitable serial sports bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Elite contrarian on underdog
Surfacing because an elite 80% lifetime winner bought Luminosity and two other profitable wallets also reduced NIP exposure, despite the market moving sharply against them.
$5,306Score: 21.7 - Million-profit bettor backs NIP
Surface because a highly profitable serial bettor is part of a $11.1k NIP cluster during a major pre-event volume spike, despite some opposing flow in the market.
$15,488Score: 16.2 - Elite bettor leads cluster
Strong one-sided Luminosity buying led by an elite 95% win-rate wallet, with a major pre-event volume spike and coordinated flow across 4 wallets.
$12,183Score: 15.7 - 95% winner on Luminosity
Elite 95% winning bettor with nearly $599k lifetime profit is buying Luminosity alongside one-sided market flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$1,091Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 15.2 - Profitable serial bettor cluster
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% track record bought Luminosity at even odds alongside one-sided flow from other wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 12.2 - 3-wallet esports steam
Three-wallet one-sided flow and a 12.7x volume spike pushed NIP from 50% to 76%, though the lead wallet has negative lifetime P&L.
$4,193Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 10.6 - 97% winner buying underdog
Elite 97% win-rate wallet with strong lifetime profit and extensive cross-market history bought NIP in a mid-liquidity esports market.
$2,474Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 10.0 - 80% winner buying underdog
A highly profitable 80% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Luminosity despite the market now pricing them much lower.
$1,300Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 9.4 - 95% winner backs underdog
Elite profitable CS bettor bought NIP despite market favoring Luminosity, backed by a 95% resolved-bet record and massive lifetime profit.
$4,380Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.0 - Elite esports bettor buying breakout
A highly profitable 79% lifetime bettor bought $9.5k of Luminosity amid a major pre-match volume spike and sharp price breakout.
$9,538Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 8.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0xed4469…4f76$12,974 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 62% wins
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$9,538 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x30c7ac…ac3b$5,146 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 68% wins
- 0xf07020…ac55$4,380 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x67bb64…b6ef$4,193 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0xdd882a…dadb$3,926 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x0c6367…3cbb$3,502 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0x87da2f…53d1$2,667 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 77% wins
- 0x03c580…5f61$2,474 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xe40ecf…9770$2,466 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Luminosity vs NIP odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect traders' market-implied probability for which team wins the BO3 series: Luminosity or NIP. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity so you can see how informed bettors are positioning.
What is the Luminosity vs NIP prediction market about?
This prediction market covers the XSE Pro League Group Stage Counter-Strike match between Luminosity and NIP. It resolves to Luminosity if Luminosity wins the match, to NIP if NIP wins, and may resolve 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed too long without a winner.
Is smart money betting on Luminosity vs NIP?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,880 in smart money activity across this event, including a recent alert tied to a profitable serial sports bettor. That signal can help highlight where experienced market participants are taking positions.
When does the Luminosity vs NIP market resolve?
The event is scheduled around the July 3 XSE Pro League Group Stage match and is expected to resolve once a match winner is determined. If the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days without a winner, the market resolves 50-50.