Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
19 signals across 4 markets · $82,183 tracked · resolves May 10, 2026
TheMongolz vs Spirit is a best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match in the PGL Astana Group Stage, with Polymarket traders pricing both the match winner and the Spirit -1.5 map handicap versus TheMongolz +1.5. PolySpotter is tracking $2,880 in smart money across this event, including signals from a perfect-record esports bettor and a 94% win-rate esports regular.
Markets (4)
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner9 signals · $45,321 tracked
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage5 signals · $15,499 tracked
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)3 signals · $13,551 tracked
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner2 signals · $7,812 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster bought underdog
Strong coordinated TheMongolz flow from five wallets includes linked funding, sharp serial cross-market traders, and a 98% winner, though current odds have moved far against the original entries.
$13,362Score: 29.3 - Sharp cluster buying underdog
Strong one-sided TheMongolz flow from six wallets includes several highly profitable serial sports traders and a linked-wallet cluster, despite the price having moved against their entries.
$15,023Score: 28.8 - 85% win-rate serial trader
Proven high-performing esports/cross-market trader bought TheMongolz despite a small adverse move, with an 85% resolved win rate and large historical profit making the trade worth surfacing.
$1,541Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.0 - Profitable trio on Spirit
Three profitable high-volume sports/esports wallets bought Spirit together, moving the price from the high-60s to 80% on a live Map 2 market.
$4,331Score: 7.6 - 92% serial esports sharp
Highly proven serial cross-market sports/esports trader with a 92% historical win rate bought Spirit amid a sharp pre-event volume spike and rapid upward price move.
$1,162Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 7.6 - 3-wallet Spirit sweep
Three wallets with substantial esports/sports history bought Spirit in the same short window, including a profitable $47k wallet, and the first entry has already moved from 72% to 84%.
$6,271Score: 6.1 - 92% winner fades favorite
Elite 92% lifetime winner sold Spirit, which converts to buying TheMongolz at 10¢, despite current market odds near 48%.
$1,661Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.3 - Profitable esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with a strong 76% record and sizable profit bought $3k of Spirit at 84%, alongside a rapid price move in Spirit's favor.
$3,005Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 5.3 - 92% serial esports sharp
A very high-volume serial esports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought Spirit before a 16-point upward move.
$1,280Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.3 - 94% win-rate esports sharp
Serial cross-market trader with an exceptional 94% resolved win rate and $169k profit is buying Spirit at 46% in a CS handicap market.
$1,380Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0x67bb64…b6ef$17,618 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 61% wins
- 0x606d65…1aaf$5,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$4,103 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 92% wins
- 0xe8725f…819a$4,057 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 78% wins
- 0x9d09ad…2543$3,642 · 1 market · 1 alert
- 0x63d43b…a2f1$3,257 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 91% wins
- 0xf07020…ac55$1,541 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xa803c7…2949$1,474 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0xf9173a…bde0$1,003 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x77a395…0e3f$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for TheMongolz vs Spirit?
This event hub tracks the live prediction-market pricing for TheMongolz vs Spirit, including the main match-winner market and the map handicap market. Odds can move as bettors react to lineups, map veto expectations, and smart money activity.
What outcomes can traders bet on for TheMongolz vs Spirit?
The event includes two related markets: who wins the BO3 match, and whether Spirit covers the -1.5 map handicap or TheMongolz stays within +1.5 maps. That means traders can express views on both the outright winner and the expected margin of victory.
What is the smart money doing on this match?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,880 in smart money across this event from 2 signals. Recent alerts include activity from a perfect-record esports bettor and a 94% win-rate esports regular, making this a match worth monitoring for sharp CS2 market movement.
When does TheMongolz vs Spirit resolve on Polymarket?
The market is tied to the PGL Astana Group Stage Round 2 BO3 match, initially scheduled for May 10 at 4:00 AM ET. It resolves after an official winner is determined, with special rules for cancellations, ties, or delays beyond the allowed window.
Is this page for one market or the full event?
This page covers the full TheMongolz vs Spirit event on Polymarket, including both child markets: the match winner and the map handicap. It is designed to show the broader prediction-market picture rather than a single betting line.