Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

26 signals across 7 markets · $787,423 tracked · resolves Oct 4, 2026

Nemiga and Astralis meet in a best-of-five Counter-Strike final at the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs. PolySpotter tracks the match prediction market and smart-money activity: recent alerts show bets being added to both teams.

Markets (7)

Top trades across all markets

Sharp linked cluster backs Nemiga
Three wallets made $5,575 in aligned Nemiga buys amid a major volume spike, including two bettors with strong profitable track records and shared-funder links.
$5,575Score: 10.4
Four-wallet cluster of proven bettors
Four wallets bought Astralis for $14.4K, including proven profitable bettors, alongside a sharp volume spike and repeated cross-market activity.
$24,952Score: 9.3
Perfect-record bettor backs Nemiga
A highly profitable bettor with a perfect 30-position record is taking a substantial Nemiga position, with related event-market activity and a sharp volume spike.
$15,531Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.9
Five-wallet Astralis surge led by proven winners
A five-wallet Astralis cluster placed nearly $119k, including large adds from highly profitable bettors with strong historical records.
$118,741Score: 8.7
29-0 bettor backing Astralis
A highly profitable bettor with a 29-for-29 record bought Astralis at 47¢ amid substantial same-event positioning and a sharp volume spike.
$3,249Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 7.7
Perfect-record bettor backs Nemiga
A highly profitable bettor with a perfect 28-position record bought Nemiga, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
$2,367Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 7.6
Three-wallet Nemiga buying cluster
A profitable high-volume trader is buying Nemiga alongside coordinated same-direction bets from three wallets, with the market moving up from the 46¢ entry.
$4,614Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 7.3
Three-wallet cluster with proven winners
Three established, profitable bettors bought Nemiga for $9,781, including a wallet with an 81% win rate and meaningful reported edge.
$9,781Score: 6.5
Proven 87% winner backs Astralis
A highly profitable bettor with 1,911 resolved positions is buying Astralis at 45¢ in a quiet market, making this a notable directional trade.
$2,701Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 6.2
26-0 sharp scaling into Astralis
A proven 26-0 bettor has repeatedly bought $355,000 of Astralis at roughly 51¢ in a thin market.
$355,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.1

Top wallets in this event

0x0259b2…769e$576,147 · 5 markets · 5 alerts · 100% wins
0x89eb83…cff9$11,537 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 81% wins
0x52ecea…a6f3$11,073 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 70% wins
0x168072…490d$6,793 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 80% wins
0x103721…5b09$6,023 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
0x30c7ac…ac3b$4,817 · 1 market · 1 alert · 58% wins
0x6b97eb…8d30$2,701 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
0x56c9fb…0d9e$2,568 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
0xf7c266…9b8d$1,862 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
0x27e43a…4803$1,717 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis

Astralis wins the BO5 series

FAQs

What are the Nemiga vs Astralis prediction-market odds?

Check the live market odds on this page. They reflect traders’ current expectations for the BO5 match outcome.

What is smart money betting on in Nemiga vs Astralis?

Recent PolySpotter alerts show activity on both sides: a proven 87% winner backed Astralis, another 96% winner added to a Nemiga position, and a profitable bettor added to Astralis.

When does the Nemiga vs Astralis market resolve?

The match was scheduled for October 4, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET, with the market set to resolve by October 4, 2026, at 10:00 PM UTC. The market resolves to the match winner; a cancellation or tie resolves 50-50.

Is this a single-match or tournament-winner market?

This event covers the Nemiga vs Astralis Grand Final match, played as a best-of-five—not the overall tournament winner.