Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
12 signals across 3 markets · $108,133 tracked · resolves Jul 26, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 between NIP and paiN in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier Round of 16. The event tracks both match-winning outcomes, with a recent alert showing a profitable serial bettor adding to paiN and $1,875 in smart money tracked.

Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettors concentrate on NIP
A $43,147 coordinated NIP purchase includes two highly profitable bettors, including an 81% winner with a substantial edge, alongside a major volume spike.
$10,164Score: 7.4 - Sharp bettor leads NIP cluster
Three wallets committed nearly $11,000 to NIP during a 285x volume spike, led by a highly profitable 94% winner buying at 50%.
$6,209Score: 7.3 - Sharp bettor leads paiN surge
A proven high-edge bettor led a $9.6K four-wallet paiN buying surge, although several other wallets were partly hedged with opposing NIP positions.
$9,624Score: 7.3 - Sharp bettor adds to coordinated paiN buying
A proven 74% bettor added to a paiN position alongside four other wallets as volume and price surged sharply.
$2,972Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 7.1 - Pro bettor leads coordinated paiN buying
A highly profitable, 1,036-position bettor bought paiN at 56% alongside two other wallets during a major volume spike, and the price has since risen to 76%.
$4,593Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 6.9 - Large NIP cluster amid selloff
Six wallets deployed $12,330 on NIP during a 45.8x volume spike, creating a notable contrarian signal despite substantial opposing paiN exposure and a sharp price decline.
$12,330Score: 6.8 - Four-wallet paiN accumulation
Four wallets added $16,065 to paiN in a coordinated esports position amid a major volume spike, though their historical records do not show a proven sharp edge.
$16,065Score: 5.8 - 94% win-rate bettor scaling into NIP
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $29,890 to an existing NIP position at 61¢.
$29,890Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4 - 94% win-rate bettor scaling into NIP
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate is adding $29,890 to an existing NIP position at 61¢.
$3,411Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4 - 81% win-rate esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial odds-adjusted edge is backing paiN at 40%.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 5.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x79ae09…9a4a$33,301 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 94% wins
- 0x3da89a…80c3$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xef2684…05ba$4,593 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xaa6c4e…a9b3$2,972 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0x05625c…18a4$1,875 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0xf148f9…0b4f$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the NIP vs paiN prediction-market odds?
The live NIP and paiN probabilities are shown on the PolySpotter event page and can change as traders buy or sell shares before the match is decided.
What is the NIP vs paiN Polymarket event?
It is a Counter-Strike 2 BO3 prediction market for the BLAST Bounty Qualifier match. The child market resolves to NIP or paiN based on the match winner.
What is smart money doing in the NIP vs paiN market?
PolySpotter tracks $1,875 in smart money across this event and one signal. The latest alert reports that a profitable serial bettor added to paiN.
When will the NIP vs paiN market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the match, with a resolution deadline of July 26, 2026 at 16:00 UTC. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, it resolves 50-50.