Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
19 signals across 4 markets · $286,812 tracked · resolves Oct 4, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the winner of the Vitality vs Natus Vincere best-of-three match in the ESL Pro League Group Stage. A profitable serial trader recently added to Vitality; the market covers either team winning, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled or ends in a tie.
Markets (4)
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)4 signals · $133,073 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage9 signals · $109,359 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner5 signals · $26,956 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner1 signal · $17,424 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp-heavy Vitality buying cluster
A 16-wallet Vitality buying wave totaling nearly $80K coincided with a volume spike and includes traders with strong historical records, though a smaller group is buying NAVi.
$83,698Score: 9.8 - Seven-wallet Vitality pile-in
A $17.9K seven-wallet push into Vitality is reinforced by two bettors with exceptional, profitable records and a sharp pre-event volume spike.
$17,940Score: 8.3 - Seven-wallet Vitality buying cluster
Seven wallets put $17.4K on Vitality amid a sharp volume spike, with participation from bettors showing strong records and one substantial edge over average entry odds.
$17,424Score: 7.8 - Three-wallet Vitality conviction
Three wallets bought $62.6K of Vitality, including a $60K add from a highly profitable bettor, during a 58.8x volume spike.
$64,373Score: 6.6 - 96% winner with $107K profit
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and $107,379 lifetime profit made a sizable, concentrated bet on Vitality despite the market moving against their entries.
$3,247Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.7 - 97% winner backing Vitality
A highly profitable bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial edge bought Vitality, alongside a volume spike in the market.
$1,400Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 5.7 - 95% winner selling the favorite
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% record sold Vitality, equivalent to buying Natus Vincere, though the sale could reflect position management.
$7,435Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.6 - Proven 78% winner backs Vitality
A highly profitable bettor with 542 resolved positions and a 31-point edge is backing Vitality, though the entry is expensive and the market is liquid.
$1,244Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 5.4 - 95% winner backing NAVI
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% record and $10.8M in P&L placed a $7,700 bet on Natus Vincere despite the current price falling below their entry.
$7,700Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - 95% winner adding to Vitality
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% record and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Vitality position.
$2,790Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8a8685…4998$60,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x7c37b5…6aeb$7,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x8ab990…d821$7,435 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x4f0eae…0200$7,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
- 0x66e530…d3c7$3,836 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xbcd242…43f3$3,356 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 87% wins
- 0xe23b8c…7c42$3,247 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xd3911b…b109$3,012 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x4c07bf…6200$2,790 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xab7136…2ada$1,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Vitality vs Natus Vincere?
The market shows live odds on Vitality and Natus Vincere winning the BO3 match. Check the event page for the latest prices.
What is smart money betting on in Vitality vs Natus Vincere?
A recent PolySpotter alert reported that a profitable serial trader added to Vitality. The event has tracked $2,080 in smart-money activity across one signal.
How does the Vitality vs Natus Vincere prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Vitality or Natus Vincere based on the match winner. If the match is canceled or ends in a tie, it resolves 50-50.
When is the Vitality vs Natus Vincere match?
The ESL Pro League Group Stage match is initially scheduled for October 4, 2026, at 12:30 PM ET. Check the event page for any schedule updates.