Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München
17 signals across 2 markets · $668,061 tracked · resolves Apr 22, 2026
This event hub tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds for Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München in the DFB-Pokal on April 22, 2026. Traders are pricing both main outcomes — a Leverkusen win or a Bayern win — with $668,061 in smart money tracked across 17 signals, including notable NO-side buying and clustered wallet activity.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Serial timer buying No
A proven live-betting wallet with a 96% win rate joined two other linked wallets to buy No within about a minute of resolution, a strong coordinated late signal in a major sports market.
$16,488Score: 36.5 - Serial timer in 17-wallet cluster
A proven profitable live-sports trader with a strong last-minute betting pattern is active here, and the market also has unusually strong coordinated one-sided flow from a large linked-wallet cluster.
$4,100Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 25.5 - Serial timer, 96% hit rate
A proven sharp sports trader with a 96% win rate placed a near-resolution bet on No, backed by a serial last-minute edge and same-direction cluster flow.
$2,187Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 20.3 - Profitable new wallet piles in
A highly profitable new wallet with $1.43M P&L made a massive $525k late buy on Bayern just before resolution, alongside 9 wallets piling into the same side during an extreme volume spike.
$524,693Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 18.2 - 3-wallet pregame NO cluster
Three wallets piled into No for nearly $11k during an extreme pre-match volume spike, and one of them is a serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate across 86 events.
$10,927Score: 11.4 - 90% winner fades Bayern
A highly profitable sports-style bettor with a 90% win rate and $2.37M P&L just made a $29.8k fresh buy on No in a major market during a strong volume spike.
$29,835Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 11.2 - 90% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports trader with a 90% win rate made a $13.4k buy into a market seeing an extreme pre-match volume surge, making this a strong signal worth surfacing.
$13,399Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 10.9 - Serial timer with $2.2M P&L
A highly profitable serial live-sports bettor with $2.2M P&L placed another near-resolution bet 4.3 minutes before close, a pattern that has generated strong results across thousands of markets.
$2,511Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 10.8 - 6-wallet Bayern pile-in
Six wallets piled into Bayern Yes for $38k during a large pre-match volume surge, including a serial cross-market bettor with 72% wins and $6.2M profit.
$38,088Score: 10.5 - 82% live sports sharp
A proven 82% win-rate sports trader bought No with under 4 minutes to resolution during a major volume spike, a pattern consistent with an informed live-betting edge.
$1,223Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 9.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x36a3f1…fafb$524,693 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xfd2930…77ae$43,233 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$4,871 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x5d1d9c…afd2$4,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0x54d2a1…de22$3,120 · 1 market · 1 alert · 47% wins
- 0x8224cf…e28a$2,618 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0x7ea571…de7b$2,511 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0x62ca7d…1760$2,187 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x51eb09…6bfa$1,990 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x12f93b…74ba$1,964 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Leverkusen vs Bayern?
This event tracks the live prediction-market prices for both outcomes: whether Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins and whether FC Bayern München wins on April 22, 2026. The odds can move as team news, injuries, lineups, and smart-money trades come in.
What is the smart money doing on this match?
PolySpotter has tracked $668,061 in smart money across 17 signals for this event. Recent alerts highlight repeated NO buying, a 17-wallet cluster, a profitable new wallet entering, and a pregame NO cluster across multiple wallets.
Are traders favoring Leverkusen or Bayern?
The event includes separate markets for a Leverkusen win and a Bayern win, so the clearest signal comes from the live prices and which side smart wallets are buying or fading. Recent alerts suggest meaningful activity on the NO side, which may indicate sophisticated traders questioning one or more outcomes.
When does the Leverkusen vs Bayern market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve around the DFB-Pokal match on Wednesday, April 22, 2026, with the listed resolution time of 18:45 UTC. Final settlement depends on the official match result and Polymarket’s market rules.