PolySpotter

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Event

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

1 signal across 1 market · $1,090 tracked · resolves Oct 30, 2026

This PolySpotter event tracks prediction-market expectations for the European Central Bank’s deposit facility rate decision at its October 28–29, 2026 meeting. The child market focuses on whether the ECB leaves rates unchanged, with resolution based on the official ECB announcement and any change in basis points.

Markets (1)

  1. Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?1 signal · $1,090 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Whale scaling into ECB hold

    A trader is scaling into Yes on a thin ECB market with a $1,090 purchase that helped drive a sharp price move, though their historical record is only moderately compelling.

    $1,090Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 1.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xf6c9bf…1c13$1,090 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins

FAQs

What are the ECB October 2026 interest rate odds?

The event tracks market expectations for whether the ECB will hold its deposit facility rate at the October 2026 meeting. Check the live Polymarket contract for current prices and implied probabilities.

What is the smart money doing on the ECB October 2026 market?

PolySpotter is tracking $1,090 in smart-money activity across the event, including a recent alert showing a whale scaling into the ECB hold outcome.

What does the ECB October 2026 prediction market resolve on?

The market resolves according to the change in basis points in the ECB deposit facility rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting, compared with its level before the meeting.

When will the ECB October 2026 market resolve?

The ECB meeting is scheduled for October 28–29, 2026. The event is expected to resolve by October 29, 2026, using the ECB’s official statement or meeting release.