Event

Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC

23 signals across 3 markets · $4,098,263 tracked · resolves Apr 25, 2026

Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC is an EPL prediction-market event covering all three match outcomes: Arsenal win, Newcastle win, or draw. PolySpotter is tracking over $4.0M in smart-money activity, including sharp clusters, an Arsenal pile-in, anti-favorite betting, and late No-side wallet movement.

Newcastle
NEW
0
EPL
Full Time
Arsenal
ARS
1
ARS 1/16NEW 200/1
Venue
Emirates Stadium, London
Attendance
60,204

Markets (3)

  1. Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?17 signals · $4,020,023 tracked
  2. Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-25?2 signals · $64,298 tracked
  3. Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?4 signals · $13,941 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 11-wallet late No cluster

    11 wallets piled $72.7k into No within minutes of resolution, including linked wallets, a highly profitable serial last-minute bettor, and several strong historical winners.

    $72,683Score: 41.7
  2. 19-wallet sharp cluster

    Three linked wallets with strong long-term records piled $7.3k into No on this match at 81-82¢, adding coordinated sharp action to a broader 19-wallet funded cluster.

    $7,313Score: 24.1
  3. 5-wallet Arsenal pile-in

    Five wallets piled nearly $394k into Arsenal Yes at 70¢, including two linked wallets and several newer profitable accounts, creating a strong coordinated sports bet worth surfacing.

    $393,918Score: 16.8
  4. 6-wallet anti-favorite cluster

    Six wallets piled into No around 30¢ in a fast one-sided cluster, led by a repeat new wallet already up $4.8k, making this coordinated anti-favorite flow worth watching despite mixed long-term records across the group.

    $12,225Score: 14.2
  5. 84% win-rate sports sharp

    A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 84% win rate and $1.34M P&L bought No in this draw market during an extreme pre-match volume spike.

    $1,528Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 12.0
  6. New whale near resolution

    A 2-day-old wallet put nearly $1M into Arsenal minutes before resolution during a massive volume surge, signaling unusually strong conviction despite no resolved track record yet.

    $950,404Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 11.2
  7. New whale hammering Yes

    A 2-day-old wallet repeatedly deployed very large size into Arsenal Yes minutes before resolution at 71¢, riding a huge pre-event volume surge and now sitting on a quick mark-to-market gain as odds moved to 84¢.

    $713,453Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 11.1
  8. 3-wallet pro cluster

    Three wallets, including a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor, piled $62.5k into No at 88¢ during a massive pre-match volume spike, creating a strong coordinated signal.

    $62,540Score: 10.7
  9. Profitable new wallet buying Yes

    A repeat new wallet with early profits and an 83% hit rate just placed another sizable buy into a heavily active Arsenal market, suggesting conviction rather than random flow.

    $3,469Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 9.1
  10. Repeat new-wallet whale

    A 2-day-old wallet that has already fired 14 large-bet alerts bought Arsenal at 72¢ just before a massive pre-match volume surge, and the market has since jumped to 84¢.

    $1,428Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.8

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x0eb568c494$3,509,648 · 1 market · 6 alerts · 92% wins
  2. 0x84cfff2f63$13,275 · 1 market · 1 alert · 46% wins
  3. 0x7ea571de7b$5,615 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 61% wins
  4. 0xe542af0a37$4,892 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
  5. 0xa8a532122b$3,558 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
  6. 0x3e85149b0b$3,469 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
  7. 0x046b56340d$1,954 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
  8. 0x27f73844b0$1,528 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
  9. 0xcd8c74f75a$1,487 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
  10. 0x7b71aec4d0$1,486 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Arsenal vs Newcastle prediction market outcomes?

This event covers the full match result market: Arsenal FC to win, Newcastle United FC to win, or the game to end in a draw on April 25, 2026.

What is the smart money doing on Arsenal vs Newcastle?

PolySpotter has tracked 23 smart-money signals and more than $4.0M across the event, including a 19-wallet sharp cluster, a 5-wallet Arsenal pile-in, and a 6-wallet anti-favorite cluster.

Are sharps betting Arsenal or Newcastle?

Recent alerts show some concentrated Arsenal buying, but also anti-favorite activity and late No-side clusters. That mix suggests traders are actively debating whether Arsenal’s price is too short versus Newcastle or the draw.

How do Arsenal vs Newcastle Polymarket odds work?

Each child market trades like a probability for one outcome. For example, the Arsenal win market reflects the crowd-implied chance Arsenal wins, while separate markets price Newcastle and the draw.

When does the Arsenal vs Newcastle market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve after the Premier League match on Saturday, April 25, 2026, with the listed resolution time around 16:30 UTC, depending on the final official result.