Monaco Grand Prix: Driver Winner
31 signals across 5 markets · $117,240 tracked · resolves Jun 14, 2026
This event tracks prediction-market odds for the winner of the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix, with trading focused on whether Charles Leclerc will win at Monaco. PolySpotter is monitoring smart money activity across the event, including a recent signal showing 85% of tracked winning traders buying NO on Leclerc.
Markets (5)
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?16 signals · $67,994 tracked
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?8 signals · $35,686 tracked
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?4 signals · $9,808 tracked
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?2 signals · $2,423 tracked
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?1 signal · $1,330 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Quiet-market F1 whale
A single wallet put $11.1k into Leclerc Yes via selling No, creating an 801x volume spike in a previously quiet long-dated F1 market.
$11,091Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 15.4 - 80% winner driving odds spike
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit made a $9k Yes buy amid a major volume spike and 32-point price move.
$8,983Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 9.1 - Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 56¢ before a sharp move to 72¢ on a high-volume F1 market.
$2,016Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 8.1 - 94% winner buying longshot
A highly profitable 94% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history bought Yes on a longshot Monaco 2026 outcome, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest size and adverse price movement.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0 - 85% winner fades Leclerc
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved-bet win rate bought $7.45k of No on a relatively thin F1 Monaco market.
$7,452Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.0 - 79% winner chasing breakout
A highly active 79% lifetime winner bought Antonelli Yes into a major volume spike and 32-point price move on race day.
$6,012Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.5 - 80% winner buying momentum
Surface because a highly profitable 80% lifetime winner made a ~$9.9k Yes bet during a major volume spike on a market moving sharply upward.
$9,892Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 6.5 - 85% winner buying NO
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 85% resolved win rate is taking a meaningful No position in a thin, long-dated F1 market.
$3,766Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 6.0 - 87% winner flips to Yes
Surfacing because a highly profitable 87% lifetime bettor with broad cross-market history is buying Yes after the market moved sharply upward.
$1,020Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 6.0 - 85% winner buying NO
Sharp cross-market trader with an 85% resolved win rate bought a large NO position in a thin F1 market, worth surfacing despite the long-dated event.
$4,362Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x49007e…4a72$32,470 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x85d53e…45ee$29,592 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 83% wins
- 0x168a78…da29$20,908 · 2 markets · 6 alerts · 79% wins
- 0xa2c908…2c23$6,012 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x1821d2…968b$4,801 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x87909a…010b$3,234 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0xf802a4…d91d$2,859 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 80% wins
- 0x27b0f6…fc67$2,682 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 72% wins
- 0x7a5d94…54db$2,490 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0xe26e85…036b$2,122 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix on Polymarket?
The event shows market-implied odds for the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix winner, currently centered on whether Charles Leclerc will win the race. Odds move as traders buy and sell YES or NO positions.
What is smart money doing on the Monaco Grand Prix market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,362 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal: 85% of tracked winning traders were buying NO on Charles Leclerc to win.
Can Charles Leclerc win the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix?
The market lets traders price the chance that Charles Leclerc finishes first in the official FIA Final Classification for the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix. His odds can change with qualifying, team performance, weather, and race-week news.
When does the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the race based on the FIA Final Classification, typically released 30–60 minutes after the race. If the race is canceled or moved after June 14, 2026, it resolves to Other.