United States vs. Mexico
3 signals across 2 markets · $6,899 tracked · resolves Oct 4, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether the United States will beat Mexico in their October 3, 2026 FIFA international friendly. The event has one yes-or-no market on a U.S. win; recent activity includes a profitable bettor joining a three-wallet Yes flow.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable bettor joins three-wallet Yes flow
Three wallets shifted toward Yes, including a profitable bettor with a 75% record, though the overall cluster is modest relative to market volume.
$4,780Score: 6.1 - Proven 95% winner backs No
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate across 9,736 resolved positions is buying No at 56¢, supported by extensive cross-market activity.
$1,119Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - Existing-position add during price breakout
A $1,000 add to Yes coincided with a sharp breakout beyond the market’s prior price range, though the bettor’s 70% win rate does not exceed their average winning odds.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 5.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x161a7f…4103$1,119 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x6abdff…94ec$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
FAQs
What are the United States vs. Mexico prediction-market odds?
The event tracks a yes-or-no market on whether the United States wins. Check the live market for current odds, which can change as traders place bets.
What is the smart money doing on USA vs. Mexico?
PolySpotter recorded one smart-money signal, with a profitable bettor joining a three-wallet Yes flow on a United States win.
How much smart money is tracked for this event?
PolySpotter reports $4,780 in total smart money tracked across the event. This figure reflects tracked activity, not a guarantee of the match outcome.
When does the USA vs. Mexico market resolve?
The friendly is scheduled for October 3, 2026. The event is listed to resolve by October 4, 2026 at 02:07 UTC.