Event

Spain vs. Austria

94 signals across 3 markets · $1,597,811 tracked · resolves Jul 2, 2026

Spain vs. Austria is a FIFA World Cup matchup scheduled for July 2, 2026, with prediction-market trading focused on whether Spain will win. PolySpotter is tracking $10,000 in smart money activity on this event, including a recent signal where a 96% winner backed Yes on Spain.

Austria
AUT
0
World Cup
Full Time
Spain
ESP
3
ESP 1/250AUT 500/1
Venue
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
Attendance
70,492

Markets (3)

  1. Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?79 signals · $1,387,262 tracked
  2. Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?14 signals · $207,549 tracked
  3. Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?1 signal · $3,000 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 39-wallet sharp No cluster

    A very large 39-wallet cluster, including linked wallets and several high-performing sports traders, is taking the contrarian No side despite Spain being heavily favored.

    $336,909Score: 42.7
  2. Sharp cross-market draw cluster

    Five wallets bought $80k of Yes on the draw, including a proven 78% winning serial cross-market trader with strong lifetime profits.

    $80,033Score: 20.0
  3. 17-wallet anti-Spain surge

    A very large 17-wallet cluster bought nearly $690k of No right before the match window, alongside a 74x volume spike and participation from a profitable 79% bettor.

    $689,668Score: 19.9
  4. 91% winner in funded cluster

    A proven 91% winner from a 17-wallet funded cluster is buying Spain Yes, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the liquid market.

    $3,000Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 12.0
  5. 92% winner buying No

    Surface because this is a proven sharp sports bettor with a 92% win rate and strong lifetime profit buying No on the draw market.

    $2,950Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 11.5
  6. 88% winner betting No

    A highly profitable 88% win-rate wallet is placing a large net No position shortly before Spain vs. Austria, with a major pre-event volume spike supporting the signal.

    $48,608Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 11.4
  7. Profitable serial sports sharp

    Sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $111k lifetime profit bought Spain Yes at 75¢, backed by a strong serial cross-market track record.

    $3,000Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 11.3
  8. 88% winner buying Yes

    Elite high-volume bettor with an 88% long-term win rate and $3.24M profit bought $36k of Yes, supported by a major pre-event volume spike.

    $36,260Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 10.9
  9. 91% win-rate sports sharp

    A highly profitable 91% win-rate sports bettor bought No on the draw market, with additional support from serial cross-market success and a pre-event volume spike.

    $1,956Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 10.3
  10. 95% sports sharp

    A highly profitable 95% winner and serial cross-market sports trader bought Spain at 68¢ before the market surged to 88¢ amid heavy volume.

    $1,385Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 10.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x27f73844b0$84,868 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 89% wins
  2. 0xd3e744ea94$47,090 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
  3. 0xc430e51ebf$35,632 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
  4. 0xca97f549f6$21,000 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 83% wins
  5. 0x8bfee72d74$15,431 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
  6. 0xe9094fc888$13,950 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 88% wins
  7. 0x50f0a05355$13,582 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
  8. 0xba224b0c14$11,317 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
  9. 0x4757e3786e$11,264 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
  10. 0x32b4848b21$10,498 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Spain vs Austria prediction market odds?

This event tracks the market for whether Spain will win against Austria on July 2, 2026. The live Polymarket price represents the market-implied probability of a Spain win and can move as bettors react to team news, lineups, and match expectations.

What is the smart money doing on Spain vs Austria?

PolySpotter has tracked $10,000 in smart money across this event, with one recent alert showing a 96% winner backing Yes on Spain. That suggests at least one historically strong trader is positioning for a Spain victory.

Is there a Polymarket market for Spain to win?

Yes. The child market in this event asks whether Spain will win on July 2, 2026, covering the Spain victory outcome for the World Cup match against Austria.

When does the Spain vs Austria market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve by July 2, 2026 at 19:00 UTC, based on the result of the Spain vs. Austria FIFA World Cup game.