Event

Spain vs. Belgium

41 signals across 3 markets · $1,886,042 tracked · resolves Jul 10, 2026

Spain vs. Belgium is a FIFA World Cup matchup scheduled for July 10, 2026, with prediction-market traders pricing whether Spain will win. PolySpotter tracks the event’s Polymarket odds alongside smart money activity, including a recent sharp-led $50K cluster on the “No” side of Spain to win.

Belgium
BEL
1
World Cup
Full Time
Spain
ESP
2
ESP 1/12BEL 150/1
Venue
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
Attendance
70,492

Markets (3)

  1. Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?20 signals · $1,391,768 tracked
  2. Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?17 signals · $435,784 tracked
  3. Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?4 signals · $58,490 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 33-wallet NO surge

    A large 33-wallet move is pushing toward No, backed by linked funding, serial sports traders, and at least one bettor with an exceptional 97% resolved record.

    $204,222Score: 11.6
  2. 28-wallet sharp Yes cluster

    Large one-sided Spain Yes flow from 28 wallets is worth surfacing despite opposing No volume because it includes linked wallets and several highly profitable, high-win-rate traders.

    $287,332Score: 11.5
  3. Sharp sports whale adding Yes

    Proven profitable sports bettor with an 80% record and $2.6M profit is adding a large Yes position at 60¢.

    $40,461Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 10.5
  4. 71% winner in No push

    Strong sharp-wallet and one-sided-flow signal: a profitable 71% winner added $66.9k to an existing No position amid 11-wallet coordinated buying and a major volume spike.

    $5,108Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 10.2
  5. 97% winner adding with cluster

    Sharp 97% winner is adding $52k to an existing No position while a 7-wallet one-sided cluster pushes the same side before match resolution.

    $1,045Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.7
  6. 71% winner in No push

    Strong sharp-wallet and one-sided-flow signal: a profitable 71% winner added $66.9k to an existing No position amid 11-wallet coordinated buying and a major volume spike.

    $66,904Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 8.7
  7. 24-wallet cluster with sharp whale

    Strong one-sided Spain Yes flow from 24 wallets, including a large add by a 14-0 profitable bettor, makes this worth surfacing despite the market being very liquid.

    $79,416Wallet win rate: 48%Score: 8.7
  8. 71% winner in No push

    Strong sharp-wallet and one-sided-flow signal: a profitable 71% winner added $66.9k to an existing No position amid 11-wallet coordinated buying and a major volume spike.

    $2,429Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 8.5
  9. 97% winner adding with cluster

    Sharp 97% winner is adding $52k to an existing No position while a 7-wallet one-sided cluster pushes the same side before match resolution.

    $3,939Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.4
  10. 97% winner adding with cluster

    Sharp 97% winner is adding $52k to an existing No position while a 7-wallet one-sided cluster pushes the same side before match resolution.

    $52,325Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 8.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x86d2d4731d$349,640 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 94% wins
  2. 0x5b4ec90232$273,469 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  3. 0x09b4287320$223,517 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
  4. 0xdb859a152f$167,904 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
  5. 0x5dab5e22e1$79,416 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
  6. 0x9ee8bb89de$74,441 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 74% wins
  7. 0x882f2aa8c0$57,309 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 94% wins
  8. 0xd86ec845ce$26,667 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  9. 0x10658d6218$22,530 · 1 market · 7 alerts · 92% wins
  10. 0xbc1b1e9d59$16,704 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 99% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Spain vs Belgium prediction market odds?

The event market tracks whether Spain will win against Belgium on July 10, 2026. Polymarket prices move as traders buy Yes or No shares, reflecting the market’s live implied probability for a Spain win.

What is smart money doing on Spain vs Belgium?

PolySpotter has tracked $50,574 in smart money activity for this event, with a recent sharp-led $50K cluster on the No side of Spain to win. That suggests notable informed interest against Spain winning at the traded price.

How do I read the Spain vs Belgium Polymarket market?

A Yes price represents the market-implied chance that Spain wins, while a No price represents the chance that Spain does not win under the market’s rules. Prices can change quickly as lineups, injuries, news, and betting flows shift sentiment.

When does the Spain vs Belgium market resolve?

This event is scheduled to resolve around July 10, 2026 at 19:00 UTC, based on the outcome of the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup game and the specific Polymarket resolution rules.