Paraguay vs. France
35 signals across 2 markets · $370,578 tracked · resolves Jul 4, 2026
Paraguay vs. France is a 2026 FIFA World Cup prediction-market event focused on whether France wins their July 4 matchup. PolySpotter is tracking $3,000 in smart money activity, with a recent signal showing 95% winner buying on the favorite side, suggesting sharp interest around France’s win odds.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Recurring funded sports cluster
High composite alert from a profitable serial cross-market sports bettor tied to a recurring 6-wallet funded cluster, buying Draw at 13¢.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 44%Score: 10.6 - 94% win-rate sharp
Elite profitable wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history bought France Yes at 83¢ despite a highly liquid market.
$9,960Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.3 - Sharp cluster buying underdog No
Surface because a highly profitable 93% winner joined a 3-wallet one-sided bet buying No against France at 17¢.
$5,165Score: 9.1 - 60-0 sharp sports bettor
A proven high-volume bettor with a 60-0 resolved record and $458k profit bought $37k of France Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$37,417Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 8.2 - Proven bettor fading favorite
Sharp sports bettor with a 77% win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying France No despite France being a heavy favorite.
$1,650Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 6.0 - 96% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable 96% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought $13k of France Yes at 84¢.
$13,000Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.0 - 91% winner backs Yes
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought $10k of France Yes ahead of a major volume spike.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 6.0 - Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 79% resolved win rate and +$44.8k lifetime P&L bought France Yes at 84¢.
$4,452Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 6.0 - 82% winner fading favorite
Sharp sports bettor with an 82% resolved-bet win rate is buying No against France amid a large pre-event volume spike.
$1,245Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.3 - Sharp sports bettor buying big
Sharp sports wallet with a 90% record and positive lifetime P&L bought $100k of France Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$100,000Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd60419…bc8a$100,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x620c9b…4bae$75,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xbc1b1e…9d59$37,417 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x5afe3d…af69$20,981 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 77% wins
- 0x3da89a…80c3$13,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$12,330 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0x635cfc…45c6$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x163eff…dc5b$9,960 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xe9094f…c888$9,637 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x03431e…f2dc$9,523 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
FAQs
What are the Paraguay vs France prediction market odds?
This event tracks the market for whether France will win against Paraguay on July 4, 2026. The live Polymarket price reflects the market-implied probability, which can move as traders react to team news, lineups, injuries, and betting activity.
What is the smart money doing on Paraguay vs France?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,000 in smart money activity across this event. The latest alert shows 95% winner buying on the favorite, indicating that a high-performing trader or wallet has been buying exposure to France winning.
Is this a market on France winning or the full match result?
The listed child market is specifically for whether France wins on July 4, 2026. It does not necessarily cover every possible match outcome separately, so traders should review the market rules before placing a position.
When does the Paraguay vs France market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by July 4, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, based on the outcome of the FIFA World Cup match between Paraguay and France.
Where can I track Paraguay vs France Polymarket activity?
You can use PolySpotter to monitor Paraguay vs France Polymarket odds, smart money signals, and notable wallet activity as the World Cup match approaches.