Event

Sweden vs. Tunisia

58 signals across 3 markets · $7,077,838 tracked · resolves Jun 15, 2026

Sweden vs. Tunisia is a 2026 FIFA World Cup prediction market event focused on whether Sweden will win their June 14 matchup. PolySpotter tracks Polymarket odds and smart money activity across the event, including a recent whale signal backing “No” on Sweden winning.

Tunisia
TUN
1
World Cup
Full Time
Sweden
SWE
5
Venue
Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
Attendance
50,987

Markets (3)

  1. Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?40 signals · $6,939,655 tracked
  2. Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?9 signals · $85,796 tracked
  3. Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?9 signals · $52,388 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 25-wallet Yes cluster with sharps

    A massive 25-wallet Yes cluster with linked funding and multiple highly profitable sports bettors is buying Sweden around 51¢, though there is also substantial opposing No flow.

    $1,491,124Score: 27.3
  2. 19-wallet cluster fading favorite

    High-conviction linked cluster and several profitable sports/event traders are effectively buying No around 24-25¢ against Sweden after a sharp Yes rally.

    $28,762Score: 24.3
  3. Perfect-record bettor joins cluster

    Surfacing because a perfect-record sports bettor is buying with a large same-side wallet cluster and major pre-event volume spike behind the move.

    $1,801Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 20.7
  4. 92% winner joins Yes cluster

    Elite 92% win-rate wallet is buying Sweden Yes alongside a large 28-wallet one-sided flow and major pre-event volume spike.

    $1,500Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 18.7
  5. 91% winner joins No cluster

    Sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying No alongside heavy one-sided flow from 11 wallets.

    $3,777Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 18.6
  6. Sharp bettor plus 28-wallet flow

    Sharp 83% winning sports bettor is buying Sweden alongside a large 28-wallet same-direction flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

    $5,100Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 17.7
  7. 26-wallet one-sided steam

    High-conviction one-sided flow: a profitable 2-day-old wallet bought Yes at 53¢ alongside 26 wallets totaling $174K, with volume and price both surging.

    $1,345Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 16.6
  8. Sharp serial trader joins No cluster

    A proven 76% winner bought $24k of No alongside 11-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

    $24,000Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 16.6
  9. New whale in Yes surge

    A profitable 4-day-old wallet put $82.9k on Sweden Yes amid a 26-wallet one-sided surge and a 22-point price move.

    $82,925Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 16.1
  10. Profitable syndicate buying underdog

    Three profitable soccer bettors, including a $10.8M lifetime winner and a 79% winner, are jointly buying Tunisia Yes at 20¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

    $35,494Score: 15.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x5e4dbeb874$4,003,301 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 100% wins
  2. 0x8cb4ca1057$757,150 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 90% wins
  3. 0x56b472a84b$315,486 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
  4. 0x408fe7b2f4$82,925 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
  5. 0x93eb0ec387$41,806 · 1 market · 6 alerts · 82% wins
  6. 0xe549582d54$25,731 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 99% wins
  7. 0x3f3aa7e8fd$24,052 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 61% wins
  8. 0x1e77928c33$24,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
  9. 0x005adabcce$23,753 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 100% wins
  10. 0x21b76c8dae$19,488 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Sweden vs. Tunisia prediction market odds?

This event tracks Polymarket odds for the Sweden vs. Tunisia World Cup game, currently centered on whether Sweden will win on June 14, 2026. The market price reflects traders' implied probability for Sweden winning versus not winning.

What is the smart money doing on Sweden vs. Tunisia?

PolySpotter has tracked $7,057 in smart money activity for this event, with one recent signal showing a whale backing “No” on Sweden to win. That suggests at least one large trader is positioning against a Sweden victory.

Does “No” on Sweden mean Tunisia wins?

Not necessarily. In a market asking whether Sweden will win, “No” can include any outcome where Sweden does not win, such as Tunisia winning or the match ending in a draw, depending on the market rules.

When does the Sweden vs. Tunisia market resolve?

The event is scheduled for Sunday, June 14, 2026, and is expected to resolve by June 15, 2026 at 02:00 UTC, after the official result is known.