Highest grossing movie in 2026?
4 signals across 2 markets · $9,321 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks which film will have the highest domestic calendar-year gross in 2026, based on Box Office Mojo data. The active market centers on whether Toy Story 5 will finish as the top-grossing movie of 2026, with PolySpotter tracking $3,000 in smart money activity and a recent signal from a profitable repeat bettor.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 82% winner buying Yes
Surfacing because this is a proven sharp wallet with an 82% win rate, $721k lifetime profit, and a long record of successful cross-market trading buying Yes despite already-high odds.
$3,799Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 9.7 - 82% win-rate movie bettor
A highly profitable 82% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Yes at 75¢, making the trader's track record the main signal despite modest size.
$1,007Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 8.0 - New profitable repeat bettor
A new 18-day wallet with repeat large bets and early profits put $3,000 on No in a relatively quiet market.
$3,000Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 4.5 - Profitable new repeat bettor
A young repeat bettor with early profit is taking a fresh Yes position despite the market drifting lower.
$1,515Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xc7e53a…2d3a$4,806 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
- 0x76b8f7…3f1e$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0x35f433…4a97$1,515 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
FAQs
What are the odds for the highest grossing movie of 2026?
The event’s odds come from Polymarket trading activity on outcomes tied to the 2026 domestic box office race. Currently, the listed child market focuses on whether Toy Story 5 will be the top-grossing movie of 2026.
Is smart money betting on Toy Story 5 to win the 2026 box office?
PolySpotter has tracked $3,000 in smart money across this event, including a recent alert involving a profitable repeat bettor. That signal can help users see when experienced traders are taking a position.
How does this Polymarket event resolve?
The market resolves based on the movie with the highest 2026 domestic calendar gross in the Gross column on Box Office Mojo’s 2026 yearly chart, once December 31 data is available.
Do grosses outside 2026 count for this market?
No. The rules specify domestic calendar gross during 2026 only, so money earned before or after 2026 does not count toward the winning total.
What happens if two movies tie for highest grossing in 2026?
If there is an exact tie, the film that comes first alphabetically is considered the winner under the market rules.